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Prediction markets for Digital Transformation

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

Will AI usage in 2030 be split in tiers where the best and most expensive models are used rarely compared to cheaper and lower-quality models?

Dec 23, 9:10 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

91%chance

231906

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2000

824

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.46%chance

191770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2102

476

Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?

Jul 20, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.26%chance

10805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will Mykhailo Fedorov be reappointed as Defence Minister of Ukraine?

Jul 16, 10:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.82%chance

22731

OptionVotes

YES

NO

566

54

Which countries will have a lower annual GDP per capita than Guyana in any year before 2050

Apr 16, 8:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3466

OptionProbability

Brunei

Kuwait

Lithuania

Portugal

Bahrain

Bahamas

Slovenia

Andorra

Estonia

Spain

Saudi Arabia

Czech Republic

New Zealand

France

Malta

Italy

Cyprus

Taiwan

Finland

Canada

Germany

United Arab Emirates

Israel

United Kingdom

South Korea

Japan

93

88

76

66

66

54

50

44

44

41

41

41

34

34

34

34

34

34

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

Will eMudhra be in businesss EOY 2027?

Oct 24, 1:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.65%chance

7121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

57

WIll Mykhailo Fedorov become the next President of Ukraine?

Jul 19, 8:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.41%chance

5104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

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