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Prediction markets for Dimensionals

Will humans receive a message from an extraterrestrial or inter-dimensional intelligence before the end of 2027?

Aug 27, 5:59 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

3.45%chance

403153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2574

873

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

May 25, 12:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.95%chance

91300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3864

3220

If a ToE is found before 2040, how many dimentions will it be composed of ?

Feb 5, 11:58 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

17937

OptionProbability

[ 3 ; 6 [

[ 9 ; 12 [

0

∞

[ 6 ; 9 [

[ 12 ; 15 [

[ 1 ; 3 [

[ 15 ; 18 [

[ 21 ; +∞ [

[ 18 ; 21 [

30

22

11

9

6

5

4

4

4

3

Does the universe rotate?

Apr 6, 12:37 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20.42%chance

22712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

928

Will we find polysemanticity via superposition in neurons in the brain before 2040?

Jan 21, 10:56 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

63.87%chance

4245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

96

Low hanging fruit in dataviz due to causality?

Aug 12, 9:20 PMDec 31, 10:04 PM

29%chance

7112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

64

I make a coin-pusher game?

Dec 3, 9:43 PMApr 5, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

"The Surge": Will Ethereum use 2D Reed-Solomon Codes by these dates?

Nov 30, 5:27 AMJul 2, 4:26 AM

270

OptionProbability

2028-01-01

2027-01-01

2026-07-01

2026-01-01

50

37

22

0

Is the (n,k)-Besicovitch conjecture true?

Sep 16, 6:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71.82%chance

446

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

106

Is the Generalized Poincaré Conjecture true for 4-dimensional smooth manifolds?

Jul 28, 6:06 PMJan 1, 7:06 PM

52.71%chance

226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

95

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