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Prediction markets for Dirección General de Tráfico

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 9:05 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.45%chance

19227183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1888

863

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

3.1%chance

8225584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4756

624

Will Geraint Thomas win another Grand Tour before retiring?

Oct 24, 4:19 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1.41%chance

1411184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6691

735

Will the Trump administration deport a US citizen to El Salvador this year?

Mar 17, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.63%chance

647475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

827

Will Sepp Kuss win another Grand Tour in his career?

Sep 18, 1:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

9.48%chance

192837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2645

649

Will there be evidence of Tadej Pogacar using carbon monoxide for doping purposes by 2026?

Jul 19, 9:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.08%chance

142805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3623

276

Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times?

Feb 22, 4:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.81%chance

111846

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1220

820

¿Partido ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Honduras en 2025? / Winning party of Honduras' 2025 pres. election?

Nov 29, 11:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

91464

OptionProbability

Libertad y Refundación

Partido Nacional

Partido Liberal

Otro / Other

36

36

32

3

Will a majority of Shakespeare scholars be Oxfordians by 2030?

Oct 3, 7:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.75%chance

121173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1640

796

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2030?

Dec 31, 1:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.8%chance

261164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

785

Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Tour de France?

Jul 28, 1:55 PMJul 24, 11:59 PM

59.42%chance

111125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1210

826

Who will come second in the 2025 Vuelta a Espana?

Aug 1, 1:41 AMSep 14, 11:59 PM

4561

OptionProbability

Joao Almeida

Juan Ayuso

Jonas Vingegaard

Other

Enric Mas

Richard Carapaz

Mikel Landa

Tom Pidcock

Carlos Rodríguez

Egan Bernal

Jai Hindley

Felix Gall

Derek Gee

Tao Geoghegan Hart

25

24

13

10

5

5

4

3

2

2

2

2

2

1

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