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Prediction markets for Discovery Global

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1510936

OptionProbability

None

(0, 200]

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

61

23

8

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will there be a massive internet outage before 2028?

Oct 21, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.53%chance

356596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11161

8960

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.86%chance

101503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1653

607

Conditional on strong evidence of aliens being discovered, will they have DNA?

Sep 14, 4:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.16%chance

291134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

932

Will a new element be discovered before 2030?

Nov 2, 9:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.31%chance

7767

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1243

805

Will Chile's Valeriano Mine copper production exceed 7.5 million tonnes by February 16, 2027?

Feb 16, 9:01 AMFeb 16, 9:01 AM

7%chance

5295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

351

22

Will the Yunnan praseodymium deposit increase China's praseodymium supply by more than 1.2% by February 21, 2027?

Feb 21, 6:04 AMFeb 21, 6:04 AM

21.46%chance

2134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

52

Which positive news category will make 2026 world-wide headlines?

Dec 24, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5129

OptionProbability

Medical/Healthcare

Geopolitics

Technology

Economy

Fundamental research

Environment and sustainability

Society

Space Exploration

Art and culture

Human Rights

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

77

76

76

75

54

50

50

36

34

34

34

Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.64%chance

458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

81

Will the season 4 premiere of House of the Dragon receive fewer than 20 million viewers?

Jun 30, 3:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.04%chance

655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

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