DISH News

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.85%chance

8145087

OptionVotes

YES

33264

2509

Will robots be able to load a dishwasher in the next five years?

Sep 23, 4:36 AMSep 24, 6:59 AM

87.53%chance

629802

OptionVotes

YES

2079

449

Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?

Nov 10, 7:17 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

1027684

OptionProbability

Joe Rogan

Pam Bondi

Tucker Carlson

Jason Calacanis

Theo Von

Dave Portnoy

Chamath Palihapitiya

Tim Pool

Elon Musk

Tulsi Gabbard

Vivek Ramaswamy

David Sacks

Laura Loomer

Alex Jones

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Ben Shapiro

Marco Rubio

Susie Wiles

Karoline Leavitt

Linda McMahon

J. D. Vance

In what year will you first be able to take a picture of a meal and get an accurate calorie count?

Mar 26, 1:11 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

70.66%chance

221372

OptionProbability

YES

1235

642

[Carlini questions] Chance one can purchase off-the-shelf robot for under 100k$ that can do manipulation

Mar 24, 1:47 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9303

OptionProbability

By 2030

By 2027

What year will the robot dishwasher market resolve?

Mar 13, 5:27 PMMar 21, 5:59 AM

4263

OptionProbability

2026-2027

2025-2026

2024-2025

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

What smart humanoid bots' capabilities will be showcased in videos by 2030?

Apr 1, 7:29 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7258

OptionProbability

Executes a synchronized dance routine.

Completes an agility obstacle course within a set time.

Solves a Rubik's Cube in under 30 seconds.

Shoots and scores from the free-throw line.

Drives a car.

Hits a dartboard bullseye.

Performs CPR on a mannequin/human.

Prepares a gourmet dish.

Replicates a complex origami figure.

Kill a human

Plays a specific song on an instrument accurately after one listening.

Assembles a furniture that hadn't seen, by reading the manual.

Executes an Olympic-standard perfect dive.

By 2030, will dishwashers be considered as safe and effective as washing dishes by hand?

May 2, 1:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

6111

OptionVotes

YES

153

105

Will I get an FAA Part 107 license, or Remote Pilot Certificate, within one year?

Feb 12, 8:44 AMFeb 12, 8:37 AM

60.51%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

124

What will surprise my child the most in 2031?

Feb 24, 4:50 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

1072

OptionProbability

There were no mobile phones: if someone did not show up at a rendezvous, you could only call him at home

It was allowed to smoke in bars and trains, even when children were present

The whole family used the same computer, which stood inside a dedicated piece of furniture

During holidays we used to eat from single-use plastic plates to avoid having to clean the dishes

During long car trips my mum and dad would take turns driving as it was tiring

Am I Intellectually Dishonest? [Permanent]

Apr 11, 9:06 PMApr 12, 4:59 AM

443

OptionProbability

YES

143

119

Will I try lutefisk before I try haggis?

Mar 13, 5:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.06%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

115

DISH News

Prediction markets for DISH

Prediction markets for DISH

Prediction markets for DISH

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will robots be able to load a dishwasher in the next five years?

Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?

In what year will you first be able to take a picture of a meal and get an accurate calorie count?

[Carlini questions] Chance one can purchase off-the-shelf robot for under 100k$ that can do manipulation

What year will the robot dishwasher market resolve?

What smart humanoid bots' capabilities will be showcased in videos by 2030?

By 2030, will dishwashers be considered as safe and effective as washing dishes by hand?

Will I get an FAA Part 107 license, or Remote Pilot Certificate, within one year?

What will surprise my child the most in 2031?

Am I Intellectually Dishonest? [Permanent]

Will I try lutefisk before I try haggis?

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