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Prediction markets for Distributed Global

How will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]

Mar 16, 3:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

153656

OptionProbability

United States

China

India

Indonesia

Brazil

Russia

United Kingdom

France

Italy

Mexico

Canada

Japan

Germany

32

29

28

24

19

9

8

8

8

8

7

6

4

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.96%chance

123209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6132

3376

Will Google emoji kitchen include combos for the strong arm emoji 💪 by mid 2026?

Jan 2, 8:16 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

18.21%chance

312860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2119

472

Will Worldcoin hit 100$ and if yes when will it happen ?

Dec 17, 7:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

181634

OptionProbability

No never

Yes by 2030

Yes by 2028

Yes by 2025

68

43

41

5

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.79%chance

161362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1696

589

When will Worldcoin's monthly payout exceed Brazil's minimum wage?

Sep 30, 9:06 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

6953

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2027

Before 2026

Before 2025

24

16

6

0

Which positive news will make 2025 world-wide headlines?

Jan 4, 4:58 PMJan 11, 10:59 PM

11879

OptionProbability

Space Exploration

Technology

Medical/Healthcare

Fundamental research

Geopolitics

Environment and sustainability

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

Society

Art and culture

Human Rights

Economy

79

73

67

65

65

59

50

50

45

45

35

Will Python's new No-GIL become officially supported before 2026?

Aug 1, 11:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

76.53%chance

13459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

261

155

Proof of Personhood SDK stock

Apr 8, 8:05 PMApr 9, 6:29 PM

21351

OptionProbability

NO

YES

416

404

[don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming?

Aug 10, 3:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.08%chance

637

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

127

What will be the market share of sodium-ion batteries in EVs by 2030?

Jan 8, 6:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

15% to 25%

25% to 50%

5% to 15%

0% to 5%

Over 50%

27

27

18

14

14

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