Distributed Global News

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.52%chance

3826421

OptionVotes

YES

1294

776

Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before 2030?

Jun 8, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.53%chance

385480

OptionVotes

YES

167

How will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]

Mar 16, 3:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

164613

OptionProbability

United States

China

India

Indonesia

Brazil

Russia

Mexico

Japan

United Kingdom

France

Canada

Italy

Germany

Will Worldcoin hit 100$ and if yes when will it happen ?

Dec 17, 7:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

203988

OptionProbability

No never

Yes by 2030

Yes by 2028

Yes by 2025

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.68%chance

133709

OptionVotes

YES

6632

3220

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.79%chance

161362

OptionVotes

YES

1696

589

Proof of Personhood SDK stock

Apr 8, 8:05 PMApr 9, 6:29 PM

21351

OptionProbability

YES

416

404

Will all covid vaccines be pulled off the market before 2030?

Oct 12, 1:46 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

3.74%chance

3300

OptionVotes

YES

380

Will probabilistic forecasting methodology on mathematical level die, extinct, and cease to exist before 2100?

Nov 3, 8:34 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

2155

OptionProbability

No, impossible and will never extinct or cease to exist

No, remains a foundational pillar of statistics, finance, and science

No, continues to evolve alongside machine learning and neural networks

Yes, replaced by deterministic AI-driven oracle systems

Yes, rendered obsolete by advances in quantum or absolute precision modeling

N/A due to complete civilizational or technological collapse before 2100

[don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming?

Aug 10, 3:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51%chance

852

OptionVotes

YES

132

128

Will United States fund global health before 2050?

Oct 13, 4:44 AMDec 31, 7:30 AM

60.77%chance

346

OptionVotes

YES

144

What will be the market share of sodium-ion batteries in EVs by 2030?

Jan 8, 6:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

15% to 25%

25% to 50%

5% to 15%

0% to 5%

Over 50%

Distributed Global News

Prediction markets for Distributed Global

Prediction markets for Distributed Global

Prediction markets for Distributed Global

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]

Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before 2030?

How will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]

Will Worldcoin hit 100$ and if yes when will it happen ?

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

Proof of Personhood SDK stock

Will all covid vaccines be pulled off the market before 2030?

Will probabilistic forecasting methodology on mathematical level die, extinct, and cease to exist before 2100?

[don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming?

Will United States fund global health before 2050?

What will be the market share of sodium-ion batteries in EVs by 2030?

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