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Prediction markets for Distributed Global

How will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]

Mar 16, 3:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

164613

OptionProbability

United States

China

India

Indonesia

Brazil

Russia

Mexico

Japan

United Kingdom

France

Canada

Italy

Germany

23

21

17

14

11

6

6

5

5

5

5

5

3

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.96%chance

123209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6132

3376

How many days will Avatar: Fire and Ash be #1 in US Box Office?

Jan 7, 1:49 PMAug 31, 8:59 PM

53150

OptionProbability

29 - 34

35 - 40

41 - 46

Below 29

47 - 52

53 - 56

Above 56

92

5

1

0

0

0

0

Will Worldcoin hit 100$ and if yes when will it happen ?

Dec 17, 7:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

192691

OptionProbability

No never

Yes by 2030

Yes by 2028

Yes by 2025

68

31

25

1

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.93%chance

171609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

980

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.79%chance

161362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1696

589

Proof of Personhood SDK stock

Apr 8, 8:05 PMApr 9, 6:29 PM

21351

OptionProbability

NO

YES

416

404

[don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming?

Aug 10, 3:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.08%chance

637

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

127

What will be the market share of sodium-ion batteries in EVs by 2030?

Jan 8, 6:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

15% to 25%

25% to 50%

5% to 15%

0% to 5%

Over 50%

27

27

18

14

14

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