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Prediction markets for District

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

131912934

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Saikat Chakrabarti

Connie Chan

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

London Breed

79

15

5

1

0

0

0

0

0

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District

Oct 17, 12:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46138629

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Saikat Chakrabarti

Connie Chan

Nancy Pelosi

Christine Pelosi

Other

Jingchao Xiong

Darren Helton

London Breed

72

21

3

1

1

1

0

0

0

Virginia redistricting: Will the Charlottesville district be blue?

Dec 21, 12:31 AMNov 4, 12:19 AM

69.85%chance

2654460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10297

9276

Will a democrat win the CA 1st congressional district special election to replace Doug LaMalfa?

Jan 6, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.85%chance

53193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1948

513

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

16.1%chance

19829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

937

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 14th Congressional District

Jan 9, 5:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2400

OptionProbability

Aisha Wahab

Matt Ortega

Abrar Qadir

Other

65

12

12

12

Who wins Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary in 2026?

Sep 29, 6:45 AMNov 2, 10:59 PM

10363

OptionProbability

Wesley Bell

Cori Bush

Other

56

43

1

Masterton, Carterton, and South Wairarapa District Councils amalgamate before 2030?

Oct 20, 3:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

2200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

Which party wins Ohio 7th congressional district in 2026?

May 7, 8:48 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

6176

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

57

43

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2040?

Aug 5, 6:07 PMNov 6, 6:54 PM

32%chance

892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

156

Will Richard Ojeda win North Carolinas 9th District?

Mar 4, 7:30 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

12.87%chance

22

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

95

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