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Prediction markets for District

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1631433547

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

Saikat Chakrabarti

London Breed

Other

61

38

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District

Oct 17, 12:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61182853

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Nancy Pelosi

Saikat Chakrabarti

Jingchao Xiong

Darren Helton

Christine Pelosi

London Breed

Other

74

24

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Virginia redistricting: Will the Charlottesville district be blue?

Dec 21, 12:31 AMNov 4, 12:19 AM

3.61%chance

4281630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

32683

476

US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market

May 13, 4:10 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

1669738

OptionProbability

Connie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins

Connie Chan advances; Connie Chan wins

Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Scott Wiener wins

Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Saikat Chakrabarti wins

76

23

1

0

Will Jamie Joyce win the 2026 12th California Congressional district race?

Jun 18, 9:02 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

2.45%chance

1516105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7292

427

Will a democrat win the CA 1st congressional district special election to replace Doug LaMalfa?

Jan 6, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.85%chance

53193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1948

513

Which US House districts in the Midwest will a Democrat win?

Mar 19, 5:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

83009

OptionProbability

Michigan's 8th district (McDonald Rivet-D)

Ohio's 1st district (Landsman-D)

Minnesota's 2nd district (OPEN-D)

Nebraska's 2nd district (OPEN-R)

Pennsylvania's 7th district (Mackenzie-R)

Pennsylvania's 10th district (Perry-R)

Michigan's 7th district (Barrett-R)

Ohio's 9th district (Kaptur-D)

Iowa's 1st district (Miller-Meeks-R)

Iowa's 3st district (Nunn-R)

Wisconsin's 3rd district (Van Orden-R)

Michigan's 10th district (OPEN-R)

Pennsylvania's 8th district (Bresnehan-R)

Iowa's 2st district (OPEN-R)

Wisconsin's 1st district (Steil-R)

Michigan's 4th district (Huizenga-R)

Minnesota's 1st district (Finstad-R)

Ohio's 10th district (Turner-R)

Ohio’s 7th congressional district(Max Miller-R)

89

87

79

78

76

70

66

65

64

64

61

56

56

49

38

37

29

27

27

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

16.1%chance

19829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

937

Will Richard Ojeda win North Carolinas 9th District?

Mar 4, 7:30 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

23.63%chance

10479

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

50

Masterton, Carterton, and South Wairarapa District Councils amalgamate before 2030?

Oct 20, 3:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

2200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2040?

Aug 5, 6:07 PMNov 6, 6:54 PM

32%chance

892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

156

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