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Prediction markets for District Attorney

What will happen to Robert Roberson, currently sentenced to death for a "shaken baby syndrome" murder?

Mar 5, 5:16 AMMar 12, 3:59 PM

74814

OptionProbability

Execution date set

Scheduled execution stayed / postponed

Execution date set (post-October 2025)

Executed

Commuted to life / other clemency beyond stay of execution

Executed in 2026

Conviction removed (vacated, pardon, actual innocence, or otherwise)

Released from prison

Executed in 2025

Dies while on death row (not executed)

100

100

57

50

18

16

8

5

5

5

Will Apple VP of Finance Alex Roman receive any legal penalty for “lying under oath"?

May 1, 10:11 AMJan 1, 10:04 AM

23.16%chance

232453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1822

549

Will Trump Prosectors get a Grand Jury to indict Comey again before the end of March 2026?

Dec 12, 11:08 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

11.58%chance

122391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2763

362

United States of America v. Apple Inc. ⚖ Antitrust Case 2:24-cv-04055

Mar 21, 2:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

291582

OptionProbability

Apple

DOJ

52

48

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...?

Dec 30, 5:32 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

11877

OptionProbability

Dec 31, 2026

Jun 30, 2026

Jan 31, 2026

71

38

0

WIll Jerome Powell Be found guilty if indicted?

Jan 12, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.8%chance

13460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

Who will win the 2026 Democratic primary for Texas's 18th congressional district?

Feb 19, 11:36 AMMay 26, 12:00 AM

8291

OptionProbability

Christian Menefee

Al Green

76

24

Will criminal contempt proceedings be initiated against these Apple executives before 2027?

May 2, 5:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7121

OptionProbability

Alex Roman

Tim Cook

Luca Maestri

45

24

21

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