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District Court News

Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina's 3rd District?

Oct 6, 6:07 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM

29238855

OptionProbability

Democratic Party — Raymond Smith Jr.

Republican Party — Greg Murphy

Another party or independent

80

20

0

Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Washington's 5th District?

Oct 6, 6:25 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM

11168573

OptionProbability

Republican Party — Michael Baumgartner

Democratic Party — Carmela Conroy

Another party or independent

95

5

0

Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Arkansas' 2nd District?

Oct 6, 5:39 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM

1176106

OptionProbability

Republican Party — French Hill

Democratic Party — Chris Jones

Another party or independent

95

5

0

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

22.11%chance

910947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18772

5327

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

57.81%chance

404135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

894

Will a federal court filing by the US gov allege that Ilhan Omar's ex-husband is her biological sibling, by EOY 2027?

Oct 22, 8:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.46%chance

131236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

841

Will Amazon be ruled to have illegally maintained a monopoly in the US before the end of 2029?

Oct 24, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43%chance

191205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1396

419

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Sep 11, 9:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.56%chance

12373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

955

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

942

Will a US House seat flip from Democrat to Republican in a 2027 special election?

Oct 21, 5:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.75%chance

3164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2104

1966

Will the Western Washington US District Court grant the FTC a permanent injunction against Amazon?

Sep 27, 1:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.2%chance

7162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

214

128

Will a US House seat flip from Republican to Democrat in a 2027 special election?

Oct 21, 5:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.32%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

914

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