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Prediction markets for District Election Officer

When will Texas "Turn Purple"

Sep 27, 3:49 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

463616

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2050 or later

2045-2049

Before 2025

42

31

15

7

5

1

Will Mary Peltola run for US Senate in 2026?

Dec 9, 1:28 AMJun 1, 10:59 PM

51.03%chance

5582

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

980

Winner of Democratic Primary for Michigans 13th District?

Oct 7, 1:45 AMAug 4, 12:59 AM

4226

OptionProbability

Donavan McKinney (State Rep since 2023)

Shri Thanedar (Incumbent U.S. Representative)

Other

55

43

2

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district

Jun 4, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

290

OptionProbability

Catherine Blakespear (Democratic, Incumbent)

Other

55

45

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 20th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

265

OptionProbability

Caroline Menjivar (incumbent)

Other

73

27

Katy Young Yaroslavsky reelected to Los Angeles City Council in 2026?

Mar 28, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.94%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 36th State Senate district

Jul 7, 3:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Tony Strickland (incumbent)

Other

55

45

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district

Jun 18, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Marie Alvarado-Gil (incumbent)

Jaron Brandon

Jeramy Young

Other

40

20

20

20

Eunisses Hernandez reelected to Los Angeles City Council in 2026?

Mar 28, 2:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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