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Prediction markets for Division

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.05%chance

52982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3409

1209

Who will win the 2026 Science Olympiad National Tournament [Division C]?

Nov 27, 8:09 PMMay 23, 10:59 PM

102382

OptionProbability

Troy H.S. (Fullerton, CA)

Montgomery H.S. (Skillman, NJ)

Monta Vista H.S. (Cupertino, CA)

Seven Lakes H.S. (Katy, TX)

Mason H.S. (Mason, OH)

Solon H.S. (Solon, OH)

Mountain View H.S. (Mountain View, CA)

Harriton H.S. (Rosemont, PA)

New Trier H.S. (Winnetka, IL)

Madison West H.S. (Madison, WI)

Marquette University H.S. (Milwaukee, WI)

'Iolani School (Honolulu, HI)

Acton-Boxborough Regional H.S. (Acton, MA)

Other

Lexington H.S. (Lexington, MA)

Novi H.S. (Novi, MI)

Pioneer H.S. (Ann Arbor, MI)

Liberal Arts and Science Academy (Austin, TX)

Castro Valley H.S. (Castro Valley, CA)

West Windsor-Plainsboro H.S. South (West Windsor, NJ)

50

10

9

7

6

4

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

When will the NCAA Division I Men’s basketball tournament (March Madness) expand beyond 68 teams?

Jan 2, 3:12 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM

41673

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2030

2026

2024

2025

50

33

6

6

4

1

1

Will there be an Antimemetics Division show/movie by late 2029?

Sep 20, 6:54 PMSep 20, 8:59 PM

21.62%chance

211641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1904

525

Who will attend the 2026 Science Olympiad National Competition? [Division C]

Dec 15, 10:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31190

OptionProbability

Troy H.S. Fullerton, CA-S

Harriton H.S. Bryn Mawr, PA

Solon H.S. Solon, OH

Montgomery H.S. Skillman, NJ

Mason H.S. Mason, OH

Marquette University H.S. Milwaukee, WI

Monta Vista H.S. Cupertino, CA-N

Syosset H.S. Syosset, NY

New Trier H.S. Winnetka, IL

Other

73

5

4

4

4

3

2

2

2

1

What USACO division will I be at the end of the 25-26 season?

Jun 15, 3:43 AMJun 14, 11:59 PM

10538

OptionProbability

Silver

Bronze

Gold

Platinum

74

36

5

1

Will there be a 3 (or more) way tiebreaker in the Makuuchi division of a Grand Sumo Tournament in 2026? (basho)

Jan 18, 10:43 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

45.37%chance

6290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

911

Will sortition be used as an alternative to elections for any administrative division of EU/US government before 2060?

Aug 28, 12:20 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

76.93%chance

10268

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

960

2026 National League East Division winner

Dec 14, 1:28 PMSep 27, 10:59 PM

1101

OptionProbability

Philadelphia

Atlanta

New York

Washington

Miami

37

24

24

8

7

Which team wins the American League East division in 2026?

Dec 8, 9:18 PMSep 27, 10:59 PM

370

OptionProbability

Toronto

New York

Boston

Baltimore

Tampa Bay

33

28

20

13

6

Will any club in USL's new first division league reach the top 20 of the world's most valuable soccer clubs before 2050?

Mar 24, 6:28 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Will there be any living veterans from the 14th Waffen Grenadier Division of the SS (1st Galician) left by the beginning of 2030?

Jan 7, 2:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.1%chance

433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

109

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