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Prediction markets for DMS

Will signs of life on K2-18b be confirmed?

Sep 12, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.48%chance

8439696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9646

667

Will OpenAI have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:51 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

21.64%chance

3919226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19061

5209

Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:55 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

19.09%chance

3815918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20592

4838

Will Google Deepmind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:58 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

21.33%chance

2710339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19404

4922

Will planet k2-18b be confirmed to contain a major sign of Alien Life: DMS (dimethyl sulphide)

Sep 13, 12:30 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

8.69%chance

5010158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2496

727

Will further research confirm the presence of DMS or DMDS on planet K2-18b by the end of 2025?

Apr 17, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.3%chance

207781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4229

236

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Jun 21, 11:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30%chance

404686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?

Mar 10, 8:38 PMJun 1, 6:29 AM

49.94%chance

362032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1109

818

Will Destiny talk to @Mira?

Jan 5, 12:17 AMJun 10, 6:59 AM

1%chance

61656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1669

62

Will any of my markets get me a cease-and-desist or legal threat by 2030?

Dec 19, 2:17 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

19.78%chance

18663

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

806

Will any of my markets get me a cease-and-desist or legal threat by 2030?

Dec 18, 6:40 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

10.76%chance

6182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

350

119

Will a popular TikToker be exposed for lying about their “healing journey”?

Jul 27, 11:38 AMAug 31, 11:31 AM

68.52%chance

664

OptionVotes

NO

YES

148

68

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