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DOCU News

How many videos will Species | Documenting AGI publish in 2026?

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1112369

OptionProbability

10 - 19

20 - 29

30 - 39

40 - 49

50 - 60

Above 60

80

9

3

3

3

3

At the beginning of 2032, will Jeanne Calment's record for longest documented lifespan (122 years and 164 days) still hold?

Dec 13, 9:00 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

90.59%chance

436175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1960

616

When in 2026 will US federal government present a new narrative, with documentation, regarding UAP/UFO events?

Apr 10, 7:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

131390

OptionProbability

Will not occur in 2026

Between September 1st and October end

Between November 1st and end of 2026

Between June 1st and August end

Before June 1st

47

16

14

13

10

Pope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026?

Aug 17, 1:08 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

16.69%chance

19825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

371

104

Will "The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 2027 Academy Award

Mar 27, 6:17 AMMar 21, 11:59 PM

41.57%chance

7506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1186

843

Will "Claude 4.5 Opus' Soul Document" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 29, 10:29 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.8%chance

9460

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

739

Will "Practical Learnings from Synthetic Document F..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jul 22, 4:09 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

10.8%chance

3296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

959

Trump's trove of mishandled classified documents disclosed to have information on UFOs by 2040

Jun 8, 3:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.82%chance

6188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

54

Will "SB-1047 Documentary: The Post-Mortem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Aug 3, 1:14 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.14%chance

2171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

977

Will 50 Cent make another documentary about Diddy/Other celebrities?

Jan 10, 7:59 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

29.93%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

245

169

Will a TikTok-native artist exhibit at Documenta 16 (2027)?

Feb 17, 12:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

Nathan Fielder does a documentary on another scammer besides Elizabeth Holmes before 2029?

Sep 7, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.6%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

96

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