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Prediction markets for Dollar General
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?
Apr 25, 2:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
8.11%chance
14027155
OptionVotes
4960
827
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?
Oct 29, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
96.04%chance
10423559
OptionVotes
10119
734
OptionProbability
99
99
98
97
96
96
96
95
94
94
92
92
92
86
86
84
78
78
78
47
37
27
25
25
19
18
16
15
14
13
13
12
12
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
7
7
7
6
5
3
3
2
OptionVotes
1324
755
4. Web agents will go mainstream, becoming the next major killer application in consumer AI.
Dec 27, 8:15 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM
45.1%chance
295557
OptionVotes
1103
906
Will the US Federal Government spend more than 1/1000th of its budget on AI Safety by 2028?
Aug 12, 9:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
12.42%chance
353823
OptionVotes
1169
949
What fraction of identical twins cooperate in the prisoner's dilemma?
Oct 21, 1:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
79.98%chance
161313
OptionVotes
1208
921
🏢Which companies will fall off the Fortune 500 USA list in 10 years, at the end of 2034? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 15, 6:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
291277
OptionProbability
89
89
88
60
59
59
54
52
50
50
46
34
34
24
21
14
4
When will a real money prediction market about OpenAI announcing AGI first stay above 90% for one month?
Mar 25, 3:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
13517
OptionProbability
43
30
25
2
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
[Carlini questions] Thousands of deaths / billions of dollars in damage caused by AI systems within 3 days by 2027
Mar 24, 1:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
386
OptionProbability
64
14
6
5
5
5
Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 30, 6:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
29.01%chance
669
OptionVotes
242
153