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Prediction markets for Domain

Will .com still be the most popular top-level-domain at the beginning of 2035?

Dec 24, 9:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

82.43%chance

512054

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1315

885

Will Betty Boop enter the public domain on Jan 1st 2026 as planned?

Nov 29, 4:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

95.85%chance

151840

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1948

910

Will .learn be a publicly available Top Level Domain (TLD) by the end of 2026?

Sep 13, 2:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.68%chance

41171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

305

33

Will a Top Level Domain (TLD) other than .com be in the top 20 most expensive domain names before the end of 2028?

Mar 16, 5:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48%chance

151138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

936

Will a Top Level Domain (TLD) other than .com be in the top 10 most expensive domain names before the end of 2028?

Mar 16, 6:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.94%chance

13712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

924

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?

Dec 4, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.14%chance

3650

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1650

606

Will Donald Duck enter the public domain on Jan 1st 2030 as planned?

Nov 29, 4:21 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

90.5%chance

12626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1620

895

Manifold announces domain change to manifold.com before August 24, 2027

Jul 27, 4:25 AMAug 23, 11:59 PM

38.33%chance

7294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

788

Will .divorce be a publicly available Top Level Domain (TLD) by the end of 2028?

Feb 10, 10:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.18%chance

6197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

297

34

Will a Top Level Domain (TLD) other than .com be in the top 10 most expensive domain names before the end of 2030?

Mar 16, 6:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.76%chance

6181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

401

148

Will .teach be a publicly available Top Level Domain (TLD) by the end of 2029?

Jun 29, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.42%chance

487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

Will DC Comics prevent the Fables intellectual property from entering the public domain before August 2026?

Sep 18, 5:46 AMAug 18, 6:59 AM

31.3%chance

562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

90

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