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Top stories

EU Opens Phase II Probe Into UMG’s $775 Million Downtown Music Deal

Authors

4

11 days ago

Prediction markets for Downtown

Which of Zvi's favorite NYC restaurants and bakeries will close by 1 Feb 2028?

Jan 2, 4:25 PMFeb 9, 4:59 AM

111654

OptionProbability

Tortaria

Hunan Bistro

Joe's Pizza (14th + 3rd)

Mighty Quinn's BBQ (13th and 7th)

Hill Country

Carlotto

Dominic Ansel Workshop

BLT Prime (74th + Lexington)

Brooklyn Bagel & Coffee Company (25th + 8th)

Thai Villa

Bhatti Indian Grill

Brindle Room

Osteria Morini

Il Buco Alimentari & Vineria

Tao Downtown

Strip House (44th + 5th)

Keste Pizza

Magnolia Bakery (Bleecker Street)

Joe and Pat's NYC (10th + 1st)

Bourke Street Bakery (28th + Madison)

Prince Street Pizza

Dominic Ansel Kitchen

Au Za'atar

Rezdora

Da Umberto

Casa Mono

Xi'an's Famous Foods (15th and 8th)

The Donut Pub (both locations must close)

Dos Toros (two closest locations must close)

Scarpetta

Via Carota

Fogo De Chao (53rd Street)

The Halal Guys (14th + 2nd)

Japonica

Fiaschetteria "Pistoia" (both locations must close)

Eataly (23rd Street + 6th Avenue)

Naya (four closest locations must close)

Katz's Delicatessen

Shake Shack (OG in Madison Square Park)

98

98

73

52

48

46

31

30

29

29

29

29

28

28

28

28

28

28

28

28

27

27

27

26

26

26

26

24

24

21

21

21

21

20

19

18

18

16

12

Tesla offers a car & mode where Tesla has legal liability for any damages that occur while self-driving by end 2026

Oct 24, 7:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.18%chance

81480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

832

153

Will Alyssa Vance and Milo Nygren-Cassels have a baby?

Jan 2, 4:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.11%chance

221480

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

981

Is the “It’s Sugar!” in San Francisco’s downtown a money laundering front for the Taliban?

Aug 29, 6:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.31%chance

221370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1562

906

Will the "the stitch" be built in Atlanta before 2050?

Feb 18, 11:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.97%chance

21002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2002

500

Will James Huntsman win his fraud case against the LDS church?

Aug 9, 5:24 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

18.55%chance

12677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1413

860

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

31.67%chance

13674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

805

How many films will I see in the cinema this year?

May 16, 6:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4412

OptionProbability

121-140

141-160

161-180

<100

181-200

101-120

201-225

226-250

>250

15

14

14

11

11

10

10

7

7

Will this “Trump 2020” sign still be up in 2028?

Jul 5, 2:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.2%chance

9382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

908

Will at least 1 out of 100 pedestrians wear an AR headset on a street near me in 2030?

Mar 30, 9:35 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

47.81%chance

16269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

968

Will the Bay Bridge bike path from West Oakland to downtown SF open before 2031?

Dec 21, 3:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.77%chance

790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

132

Will South B street in downtown San Mateo still be pedestrian only 24 hours/day through 2026?

Jul 4, 3:10 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.86%chance

211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

79

63

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 22, 2025
Jul 22, 2025
Law
Music
Business
EU Opens Phase II Probe Into UMG’s $775 Million Downtown Music Deal
Authors
4
11 days ago

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