DRAG News

NO

Retard (or variant)

“Radical Islamic Terror(ism)” or “Radical Muslim Terror(ism)”

Fuck (or variant)

Palestine (not ‘Palestine, Ohio’)

“Devil(s)” or “Satan” or “Lucifer”

Rocket man

Bitch (or variant/compound word)

“Bitcoin reserve” or “cryptocurrency reserve”

Dick

King

Queen

NATO freeloaders (or any variation including freeload)

Mormon(s)

Luigi

Andrew Tate

Kendrick Lamar

Drag queen(s)

Queer (or variant)

Mango(es)

Eskimo(s) or Igloo(s) or Inuit(s)

Shithole(s) or Shit hole(s)

Vibe(s)

Panamaga

Bigly

“I love Xi” or “I love China”

Unicorn

6 7

“K-Pop” or intentionally names artist

Transgendereds

“Brat” or “Party girl”

The F-slur, or any of its derivatives

Operation Wetback

Tyrannosaurus (or T Rex)

“Bela” (again)

“Glinda” or “Elphaba”

“Hawk Tuah” or “Talk Tuah” or “Haliey Welch” (including misspellings where intent is clear)

Cardi (B)

Cunt

Covfefe

“Governor Pierre” or “Governor Poilievre” (including misspelled variants)

Cuck

NO

Other

*Markdown* formatting in comments and elsewhere

ANTE: Stake on this to subsidize the market.

The ability to look for related markets in the API.

Linkable Comments

Ability to optionally privately enter your expectation of outcome when making a purchase, for the purpose of having a personal calibration curve. Justification: I find that making calibration curves for myself is fun and helps improve my forecasting, and that my calibration curve gets less accurate after a few months if I stop practicing. But the practice takes effort, which could be piggy-backed on the forecasting activity of participating in prediction markets for less effort than doing it seperately.

Ability to include a short message when resolving a market

Reminders. Allow users to set a custom reminder to return to a market.

Spoiler tags to hide markets about in progress fiction

Merge duplicate Answers for multiple Answer Questions https://manifold.markets/Honourary/will-manifold-markets-add-a-merge-f

Ability to tip users M$ for helpful comments.

Ability to short multiple choice answers

Retroactively close a market, undoing bets after the new close time. (Reward predictions before the events happened, not betting really quickly after hearing the news.)

Resolve market to probabilities other than market probabilities. Useful for betting on outcomes of other markets.

Short answers on free response questions

Graph showing the pool size of a market over time

A meta-market. Simple exchange that lets you place a bid/sell order for shares of whatever market.

Set a time to stop allowing creation of new free response answers separately from the market close time

We need numerical range questions. Many topics are way more informative when expressed that way, over a Yes No.

Ability to attach (private) personal notes to other users (e.g. to keep track of who you've observed be a good market resolver)

A "poll" category of market. You can buy as many votes as you want but the payout is unrelated to which answer wins. (Could be zero, could reverse the system so bettors get 4% and the creator gets the balance, or something else.)

Reducing the number of personal questions (eg. "Will I do ...")

Market Indicies, Allowing Multiple Markets to Be Combined Into One and Automatically Weighted with Drag and Drop Type Feature

Show currently placed on market overviews, like https://manifold.markets/markets (it is easy to forget where loans were used)

Allow to exclude communities/tags on feed/market overview. It would be nice to not have ability to skip all this gambling ("yes iff pool divisible by 2" etc)

Allow to exclude communities/tags on feed/market overview. It would be nice to skip all this gambling ("yes iff pool divisible by 2" etc)

Allow users to edit their comments

In "Your Trades", show each market's M$ pool

Reduced fees for long horizon markets to increase trading volume.

Upload photos with comments. Useful for proof of results and other fun things.

I would like there to be a feature that integrates something like an RSS feed. If key words or phrases about specific event occurs, trading is suspended until the market is either resolved or the RSS notification is tagged as a false positive. As what often happens, the gains of many bettors are wiped out by slow resolutions of markets.

Zoom on the chart

Statements

Kelly

The ability to subsidize markets, putting up money to enhance liquidity and encourage participation, without taking a particular side of the bet. (The thing that the ANTE option on this market is trying to do, just in a more formal and less ad-hoc way, which would also work for YES/NO markets.)

Aggregate your own trades in timeline view (avoid long list).

Earn interest on M$ tied up in long time horizon bets.

Trade fractional mana

When creating a free answer market, add a starting set of answers without betting.

Combinatorial Prediction Markets

Ability to delete comments.

Load pages faster (Android mobile).

More explanation for people who don't know anything about prediction markets.

Mechanism for making decisions (built-in bundle of conditional markets?) with better incentives for betters (not beauty contest)

Filter OUT market categories on the homepage.

Private messages to users

Ability to select multiple categories of markets on the home page.

Trusted users can add category tags to markets that aren't their own

User create their own currency

Zen mode: Hide the probabilities from the user until they decide to buy.

Market Scanner (like stock screeners)

YES

NO

YES

NO

Gender-affirming care for minors

LGBT+ topics in schools

Conversion therapy

Transgender athletes

Coverage of gender-affirming care

Anti-discrimination laws

LGBT+ people in the military

Gender-affirming care for adults

Transgender bathroom rights

Editing gender markers on government documents

Parental notification of LGBT+ students

Drag shows and/or gender-non conforming expression

Gender dysphoria in the ADA

Same-sex marriage

NO

Conversion therapy

Gender-affirming care for minors

Anti-discrimination laws

Editing gender markers on government documents

Transgender bathroom rights

Coverage of gender-affirming care

LGBT+ topics in schools

Transgender athletes

Drag shows and/or gender-non conforming expression

Gender-affirming care for adults

LGBT+ people in the military

Parental notification of LGBT+ students

Gender dysphoria in the ADA

Same-sex intimacy

NO