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Top stories

SoftBank Taps Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan for $2B+ US IPO of PayPay with SEC Filing, Valuation Over $10B, Q4 2025 Launch

SoftBank Taps Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan for $2B+ US IPO of PayPay with SEC Filing, Valuation Over $10B, Q4 2025 Launch

Authors

20

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Dragoneer

Dragon Stock

May 2, 4:25 PMMay 2, 9:59 PM

393184422

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2776

1981

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?

Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.1%chance

525802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1360

735

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?

Aug 26, 8:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

69.97%chance

184299

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1526

655

A biological creature aesthetically recognizable as a dragon will exist on earth by 2060

Sep 27, 3:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52.05%chance

303314

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1233

597

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?

Aug 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

78.94%chance

71727

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1936

517

Will any of the Manifold founders go on Shark Tank or Dragon's Den before 2026?

Nov 22, 11:02 PMDec 30, 8:31 PM

2.36%chance

9843

OptionVotes

YES

NO

839

88

Is/Was Shank a celestial dragon?

Mar 5, 6:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.22%chance

16803

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1402

902

Will we be able to sell the manifest dragon shirt designed by @etirabys in the manifold merch store?

Jan 26, 7:57 PMDec 31, 7:56 PM

63.4%chance

7710

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1316

760

How many seasons will HBOs House of the Dragon have?

Jun 29, 2:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7554

OptionProbability

4

5

3

6

7

2

8

9

10

92

3

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will Monkey D Dragon die before the end of One Piece?

Mar 6, 6:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.85%chance

8288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

84

Will a new official dungeons and dragons game on PC have Planescape in the title before 2040?

Aug 18, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.64%chance

5103

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

Dragon Ball

May 2, 1:02 AMMay 2, 11:59 PM

321

OptionProbability

YES

NO

99

82

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