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Dragonfly News

    Prediction markets for Dragonfly

    What is Quroe's favorite animal?

    Dec 14, 11:53 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
    6543187

    OptionProbability

    Elephant - Loxodonta africana 🥈🥈

    Yellow-Lipped Sea Krait - Laticauda colubrina

    Red Fox - Vulpes vulpes 🥉

    Platypus - Ornithorhynchus anatinus 🥉

    Prehistoric Elephant - Palaeoloxodon namadicus 🥉🥉🥈

    Sonoran Desert Sidewinder - Crotalus cerastes cercobombus

    Ice Worm - mesenchytraeus solifugus

    Dog - Canis familiaris

    Cat - Felis catus

    Tiger - Panthera tigris

    Dolphin - Tursiops truncatus

    Penguin - Aptenodytes forsteri

    Lion - Panthera leo 🥈

    Axolotl - Ambystoma mexicanum

    Sea Otter - Enhydra lutris

    Honey Badger - Mellivora capensis 🥈

    Polar Bear - Ursus maritimus 🥈

    Wolverine - Gulo gulo

    Cape Buffalo - Syncerus caffer caffer

    Great White Shark - Carcharodon carcharias

    Blue Whale - Balaenoptera musculus

    Common Bed Bug - Cimex lectularius

    Giant Nematode - Placentonema gigantissima

    Pompeii Worm - Alvinella pompejana

    Sperm Whale - Physeter macrocephalus

    Penis snake - Atretochoana eiselti

    Giant Dragonfly - Meganeuropsis permiana

    Giant Pacific Octopus - Enteroctopus dofleini

    Triceratops - Triceratops horridus

    Kiwi - Apteryx australis

    Brown Rat - Rattus norvegicus 🥉

    House Mouse - Mus musculus domesticus

    Red Volcano Sponge - Acarnus Erithacus

    Sulfur Cave Molly - Poecilia sulphuraria

    Meerkat - Suricata suricatta 🥉

    Housefly - Musca domestica 🥉

    Feral pigeon - Columba livia urbana

    Coyote - Canis latrans

    Great black-backed gull - Larus marinus

    Leopard seal - Hydrurga leptonyx

    Western lowland gorilla - Gorilla gorilla gorilla

    Eastern lowland gorilla - Gorilla beringei graueri

    Brownthroated three-toed sloth - Bradypus variegatus 🥉

    Bornean orangutan - Pongo pygmaeus

    ❌Defeated: Hippopotamus - Hippopotamus amphibius 🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Brown Rat]

    ❌Defeated: Giant Panda - Ailuropoda melanoleuca [beat by Polar Bear]

    ❌Defeated: Orca - Orcinus orca [beat by Housefly]

    ❌Defeated: Hotwheels sisyphus spider - Hotwheels sisyphus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    ❌Defeated: Saltwater Crocodile - Crocodylus porosus 🥈🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Red Fox]

    🚫Ineligible: Water bear - Milnesium tardigradum

    ❌Defeated: Ping-Pong Tree Sponge - Chondrocladia concrescens 🥉 [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

    🚫Ineligible: human [I'm shortening this]

    🚫Ineligible: Tardigrade (LFG)

    🚫Ineligible: [This animal was edited in bad faith]

    ❌Defeated: Wolf - Canis lupus [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Cliff Swallow - Petrochelidon pyrrhonota [beat by Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Haast's Eagle - Hieraaetus moorei [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Flightless Elephant Bird - Aepyornis maximus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    ❌Defeated: Great evening bat - Ia io [beat by Lion]

    ❌Defeated: Funny valentine spider - Funny valentine [beat by Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian]

    ❌Defeated: Yi qi dinosaur - Yi qi [beat by Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Aha ha wasp - Aha ha [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Colossal Whale - Perucetus colossus [beat by Meerkat]

    ❌Defeated: Cuban Cockroach - Panchlora nivea [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Panther Chameleon - Furcifer pardalis [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    ❌Defeated: Giant Pterosaur - Quetzalcoatlus northropi [beat by Ping-Pong Tree Sponge]

    ❌Defeated: Lesser Flamingo - Phoeniconaias minor [beat by Honey Badger]

    ❌Defeated: Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian - Dermophis donaldtrumpi 🥈[beat by Brownthroated three-toed sloth]

    ❌Defeated: New World Screwworm - Cochliomyia hominivorax [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Chinese giant salamander - Andrias davidianus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    🚫Ineligible: [edited in bad faith]

    ❌Defeated: Australopithecus - Australopithecus afarensis [beat by Platypus]

    Other

    3

    3

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    3

    3

    3

    2

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    2

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    0

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    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    4219

    237

    Will NASA's Dragonfly mission find life on Titan?

    Sep 6, 8:04 AMDec 13, 11:59 PM
    9.43%chance
    15948

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1164

    959

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1167

    951

    OptionProbability

    Saturn Atmospheric Probe

    Comet Surface Sample Return

    Io Observer

    Lunar Geophysical Network

    Lunar South Pole-Aitken Basin Sample Return

    Enceladus Exploration

    34

    33

    11

    9

    6

    6

    OptionProbability

    Centaur Orbiter and Lander

    Ceres Sample Return

    Comet surface sample return

    Saturn probe

    Enceladus multiple flyby

    Io Observer

    Lunar Geophysical Network

    Titan orbiter

    Venus In Situ Explorer

    Lunar South Pole-Aitken Basin Sample Return

    22

    21

    12

    12

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    0

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