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Prediction markets for DRE

Will Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream have its on Nintendo Direct?

Mar 30, 5:05 PMMay 1, 10:59 PM

15%chance

44614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will Luffy’s & Roger’s shared dream somehow relate to exploring space?

May 4, 7:28 PMMay 4, 9:59 PM

22.51%chance

361988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1413

827

In "the prodigal sorceress" is lilasir the Dread Emperor?

Oct 22, 1:38 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

8.99%chance

211674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1623

857

Will AI or other tech be usable by the public to enable lucid dreaming by 2027?

Oct 9, 12:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.55%chance

261430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

776

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

442

Existential Dread (Permanent)

Apr 21, 6:32 PMApr 22, 4:59 AM

6569

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1004

994

Will "Dreams of AI alignment: The danger of suggest..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Sep 9, 8:14 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.25%chance

1500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

937

Will Dreamstar Lines begin revenue service in 2026?

Jun 7, 7:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.65%chance

3260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1260

794

Which musicians/ensembles will be featured in the Grand Theft Auto VI soundtrack at release?

Dec 7, 8:19 AMMay 26, 6:59 AM

8183

OptionProbability

Tom Petty

Denzel Curry

Bad Bunny

Snoop Dogg

Hall & Oates

The Weeknd

Rick Ross

The Pointer Sisters

Michael Jackson

Rihanna

Woody Jackson

Jan Hammer

T-Pain

Eminem

Dr. Dre

Wang Chung

Zenglen

Tammy Wynette

Joan Jett

KNOWER

Steve Miller Band

81

75

70

70

66

66

66

66

62

62

59

59

59

59

59

59

59

59

59

50

50

What month (starting Jan 2023) will the next Dresden Files book (Twelve Months) come out?

Jul 25, 3:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

78.42%chance

3142

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2606

2433

Will the 1906 Dredge Act be substantially repealed before 2028?

May 21, 8:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.48%chance

4120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1095

913

What songs will appear on the radio in Grand Theft Auto VI at release?

Dec 7, 7:10 AMMay 26, 6:59 AM

260

OptionProbability

Love Is A Long Road - Tom Petty

Turn Red - M Dot R

Gospel - Dr. Dre

Everybody Have Fun Tonight - Wang Chung

Talkin' to Myself Again - Tammy Wynette

Hot Together - The Pointer Sisters

Take the Money and Run - Steve Miller Band

Child Support - Zenglen

I Love Rock 'n' Roll - Joan Jett & the Blackhearts

Love the Way You Lie - Eminem

74

59

59

59

59

59

50

41

41

36

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