Düsseldorf Police News

YES

See a bear

Flat tire

Hitch a lift

Ride through a thunderstorm

fall off the bike

Make use of the WarmShowers network

Exceed a speed of 35mph

Have sex while on tour

Cycle >65 miles in one day

Learn interesting lore from a local in at least one place you pass through

Get sunburnt

Be chased by a dog

Receive a gift from someone you meet along the way [not including social gestures, see comments]

Someone you meet irl invites you to stay at their home (including camping on their property)

Encounter snow (via active precipitation OR unmelted on side of road)

rained on

Broken spoke

Try a new food and love it!

Encounter road closure

See a snake

someone honks at you (from a car, while on your bicycle)

Someone shouts encouragement from a vehicle

See a cat with 3+ kittens

Eat more than 5,000 kcals in a single day

make it all the way to the Atlantic with at least 90% of the distance covered by bike/foot

End the trip at a lower weight than you started (<65kg)

Meet an online friend IRL

Notice a custom license plate that you find funny

Someone shouts verbal abuse from a vehicle

Make it to the end without any further broken spokes

experience temperatures above 100°F (38°C)

Poop somewhere that isn’t a toilet or portapotty

Three or more flat tires

Try a new food and hate it!

Cycle >110 miles in one day

Cry

Meet a manifold user IRL (who I haven't met before)

Have animals access your food while camping

get invited to someone's church

Broken chain

Something that is not the whole bike gets stolen (wheel, lights, money, phone, etc)

3 people you meet join Manifold to participate in this market

End the trip at a higher weight than you started (>65kg)

Divert or delay route due to wildfire and/or poor air quality due to smoke

Get ill enough that you skip a day.

Get rash from poison oak or poison ivy

10 or more flat tires (current running total: 5)

Get pulled over / stopped by police [while on bicycle]

Someone you meet joins Manifold to bet on this market and is still active on the site (betting 3+ days/week) when all options resolve

Observe, divert route or delay because of a tornado

Have bike stolen

Someone asks if you know Prince Harry

Be hit by an automobile

Soccer player

Chaplain

Federal employees

Kindergarten Teachers

AI Safety Researchers

Dancer

AI Resistance Leader

Judges

Nurse

Politicians

Gynecologist

Novelist

Firefighter

The job of judging which propositions are true (analytic philosopher).

Project Manager

Surgeon (autonomous)

Police officer

Game developer

Barbers

Lawyers

Teachers

Dentists

Chefs

Therapists

social media content creators

Fluffer

Construction workers

Computer programmers

Soldier

Personal trainers

Fast Food Cook

Doctors

Prompt engineers

Fast Food Cashier

Bus drivers

Robot designers / engineers

Photographer

An Aston Martin

Aston Martin DB Series

A car also capable of driving itself

A Land Rover

A convertible car

A motorcyle

An unpowered parachute

A motorboat

Off-road vehicle

Any rover (Range, Land, Mars, moon, etc.)

Aston Martin Lagonda

A helicopter

A jet aircraft

A penis shaped car

An electric scooter (e.g. bird/lime)

A drone/quadcopter

A sailboat

A BMW

Aston Martin Valhalla

Aston Martin Valkyrie

Aston Martin Vantage

A hang glider, wingsuit, or other unpowered gliding aircraft.

A Sea-Doo/JetSki

A zipline

A glider/sailplane

An excavator

A combustion scooter (e.g. vespa)

A taxi cab

An EMS vehicle (police car, ambulance, fire truck)

A kidnapper van

A litter/sedan chair

A race car specifically designed for racing like F1 or Nascar

A train

A Pedal bicycle

A Semi-Truck

A tank

A fixed wing single-engine aircraft

A tilt-rotor aircraft

A hydrofoil

A gyrocopter

A bus

A pair of skis

A toboggan

A hot air balloon

A golf cart

A Lada

A wheelchair

A submarine

A jetpack

A beast of burden

A Bentley

A Rolls-Royce

A vehicle integrated into footwear, such as heelys or jet boots.

A motherfucking plane full of moterfucking snakes

A spacecraft

A snowmobile

A blimp

A bulldozer

A mech

A tow truck

A Segway

A rickshaw

A chariot

piggyback ride

A Zamboni

A hyperloop capsule

A unicycle

A SpaceX Starship

A push scooter (e.g. Razor)

A Tesla

House with balloons attached to it (like the movie Up)

A pedal-powered duck boat

Cybertruck

A hoverboard

A trike

A Zorb

The Oscar Mayer Wienermobile

15-Minute Cities

Universal Basic Income (UBI)

Decolonization

Multipolarity / Multipolar World

Transhumanism

Nuance

Academic freedom

Stakeholder-Capitalism

Techno-optimist

Consent-Based Policing / Peelian Principles

Love

Civilian Casualties / Protection of Civilians Mandate

Investigative journalism

Direct democracy

Peacebuilding

AI Alignment

Human rights

Freedom

Experience

Relationship Anarchy

RV events

Police as crime solvers

Prison as corrective

Libertarian free will

LessWrong is a source of pure wisdom

Working gives us meaning.

Merit/desert

Neoliberalism

Proof School

LSD unlocks a deeper consciousness

IQ as an objective measure of general intelligence

Rule a Country (discord server)

Religion

Peer reviewed studies - lots of junk routinely passes peer review, replication/post publication peer review are much better indicators of quality of research

The meaning of life

Quantum computing

Death

meta-irony

Cryptocurrency

Pessimism about the future of the world

Alcohol is needed for life to be fun

Founders/Entrepreneurs

On Manifold, mana inflation

The attitude that many of us tend to take way too many things way too seriously (serious submission)

Humans being innately (as opposed to instrumentally) more important than other animals

Free will in general

Having kids

An apple a day

Nihilism

Clinical Psychology

meta-submissions

focus on X-risks within EA as opposed to current issues

Nuclear fusion as the energy of the future

Children as planetary burden

Anti-capitalism

Analytic philosophy

Continental philosophy

Ockham’s razor

Free Trade

Deontological ethics

Capitalism

Utilitarianism

Freedom

Modernity

The analytic-synthetic distinction

Veganism

Technological progress as a good thing

Moral relativism

Classical literature

Artificial Intelligence

Being in shape

Rationality

Effective Altruism

AI Doomerism

Longevity/immortality

Politics

Therapy

Free Speech

The opinion that neoliberalism is overrated

The anti- AI art movement

Extended Travelling (as opposed to <4 week vacation)

Taking things seriously

Enlightenment

Unconditional love

Reason

Environmentalism for its own sake (rather than for humans' sake)

Donald Trump being the worst thing for the US and the world

Atheism

Russia = Evil, Ukraine = Good

Psychedelics

Privacy

Living

Prediction markets

democracy

Biodiversity

Virtue

"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations"

"defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"

"end catch-and-release, restore Remain in Mexico, and eliminate asylum fraud"

empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs

"lower taxes"

"deputize the National Guard and local law enforcement to assist with rapidly removing illegal alien gang members and criminals"

"keep men out of women’s sports"

"increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement"

"open Civil Rights investigations into any school district that has engaged in race-based discrimination"

"order the Department of Defense to inflict maximum damage on cartel leadership and operations"

"reward states and school districts that abolish teacher tenure for grades K-12 and adopt Merit Pay"

"REVOKE China’s Most Favored Nation trade status"

"stop all COVID mandates"

"more jobs for American workers"

"deliver a merit-based immigration system that protects American labor and promotes American values"

"cut the number of school administrators"

"choke off [cartels'] access to the global financial system"

"cut federal funding for any school or program pushing Critical Race Theory or gender ideology on our children"

"ask Congress to ensure that drug smugglers and traffickers can receive the Death Penalty"

"strengthen qualified immunity and other protections for police officers"

"uphold your religious liberty, including the Constitutional right to pray in public schools"

"bigger paychecks"

"implement a 4-year national reshoring plan so that the United States no longer needs to rely on China for essential medical and national security goods"

"put violent offenders and career criminals behind bars"

"build a state-of-the-art next-generation missile defense shield"

"surge federal prosecutors and the National Guard into high-crime communities"

"adopt a Parental Bill of Rights"

"banning taxpayer funds from being used to categorize lawful speech for purposes of illicit censorship"

"banning federal agencies from censoring speech"

"passing a digital bill of rights"

"enacting landmark legislation to drastically limit the ability of big social media platforms to restrict free speech"

"stopping federal funding for all non-profits and academic programs engaged in censorship"

declassify the 'Epstein files'

"create a credentialing body to certify teachers who embrace patriotic values"

"pass a bold range of critical election integrity measures that include banning unsecure drop boxes and ballot harvesting"

"deliver record funding to hire and retrain police officers"

"veto the sinister effort to weaponize civics education"

"increase fairness through price transparency"

"reduce the soaring price of gasoline, diesel and natural gas"

"get the full cooperation of neighboring governments to dismantle the cartels, or else expose every bribe and kickback that allows these criminal networks to preserve their brutal reign"

"continue to nominate highly qualified prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda"

"protect Medicare, Social Security, and patients with pre-existing conditions"

"reduce the cost of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums"

"firing any federal bureaucrat who has engaged in censoring the lawful speech of American citizens"

"ban private money from pouring into local election offices"

"get Biden’s radical left ideology out of our military and rehire every patriot who was unjustly fired"

"a ban on members of Congress trading stocks with insider information"

"end surprise medical billing"

"ban Chinese ownership of all critical infrastructure in the United States"

"reform our election laws to verify the identity and eligibility of all voters"

"impose a total naval embargo on cartels"

"a permanent ban on taxpayer funding of campaigns"

"a lifetime ban on lobbying by former members of Congress and cabinet members"

"implement the direct election of school principals by the parents"

"a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress"

NO

Involvement with an attempted coup d'état after he lost the 2022 Elections and/or the 1/8/23 events

Selling jewelry and other luxury gifts given to the Presidency under his term for his personal benefit

Defrauding official COVID-19 vaccination records for him and his family members to travel to the USA

Something pandemic-related (dissemination of fake news, encouraging people not to take protective measures, the Covaxin scandal etc)

Interfering with the Federal Police for personal purposes

Leaking information related to ongoing investigations of hacker attacks on the Electoral Justice

Something related to an involvement with the paramilitary groups in Rio de Janeiro

Something related to ghost employees or salary kickback schemes in his or his family's parliamentary cabinets

Other

NO

Will Hamas stay in power as the govt and state of the strip?

Will Israel retain a military or police presence all along the philadelphy corridor?

Will Hamas comply with the deal?

Will Israel comply with the deal?

IF Trump pressured Israel into accepting this seemingly unfavorable deal, did he offer something valuable in return?

Did Trump pressure Israel into accepting an unfavorable deal?

This something in return is carte blanche for Israel to annex the west bank

This something in return is a guaranteed continuation of the Abraham accords

Main vehicle has front window, and it is shaded/tinted

smaller vehicle that comes with it

Siren Lights (has both blue AND red)

Extendable ladder

only four wheels on main vehicle

Includes a flying machine (helicopter, plane, space ship, etc)

Main vehicle is construction related (like 2017)

Main vehicle has 6 or more tires

main vehicle has no wheels (like 1966)

Police or Fire department theme

says GASOLINE on one of the vehicles

Motorcycle included

Predominant color is Non-Green (like 2020, 2015 or 2005) (not counting white as a color)