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Prediction markets for Earn

Will an AI autonomously earn more than $10,000 not through financial trading, starting with no more than $100 by 2026?

Jun 15, 8:14 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.87%chance

526967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2864

349

Will the UK Government offer >1000£ in tax incentives to people earning more than the UK median income to get health insurance before 2025?

Jan 2, 10:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.37%chance

134938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5042

746

Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?

Sep 25, 11:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

40.23%chance

62299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4086

101

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?

Oct 22, 1:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

92.73%chance

171890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2198

836

By 2028, there will exist an obvious place where digital nomads can earn a living by producing alignment data for AI.

Feb 17, 10:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.5%chance

121396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2032

492

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?(inflation adjusted)

Oct 22, 1:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.43%chance

15831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1530

864

Before 2040, will an entirely AI-generated film earn a 5/10 or better on IMDB?

Sep 21, 1:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.42%chance

11590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

824

Will the EARN IT act be passed in the US by 2030?

Apr 22, 11:25 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

24.57%chance

12241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1229

904

Will the gender pay gap in weekly real earnings close to within 5% before 2030

Mar 14, 4:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.74%chance

5144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

99

Will the relative earnings of college graduates decrease by 2030?

Feb 8, 5:29 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

70.55%chance

696

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

100

How much money will I earn in 2026?

Oct 26, 1:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

361

OptionProbability

10000$-100000$

0$-1000$

100000$+

1000$-10000$

66

13

12

10

Will women aged 16 to 24 earn at least 10% more than men in the same age bracket by 2027-8?

Mar 9, 8:18 PMMar 16, 10:59 PM

47.71%chance

757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

96

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