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Prediction markets for East

Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)

May 19, 12:55 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM

84%chance

25335562

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2282

392

Before 2029, will any car drive itself, completely unassisted, from a city on the east coast of the USA to the west?

Oct 13, 7:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

78.41%chance

543493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1097

958

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Jul 26, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15%chance

242268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2018

687

Will Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?

Nov 14, 8:21 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

90.33%chance

211011

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1792

852

Will this year’s MLB World Series winner be from a city east of the Mississippi River?

Jan 15, 8:19 PMNov 3, 5:59 AM

50.39%chance

7481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will I win the 2025 "National Middle East History Competition"?

Jul 16, 7:01 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

39.68%chance

6384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

811

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.14%chance

13366

OptionVotes

NO

YES

986

920

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?

Nov 3, 7:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.62%chance

12228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

727

Will Massachusetts East-West rail be under construction before 2027?

Mar 13, 12:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.77%chance

8215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

468

179

Which NL East teams will make the 2025 MLB playoffs (including Wild Card)?

Jun 26, 1:36 AMSep 29, 10:59 PM

2100

OptionProbability

Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets

Atlanta Braves

Other

73

71

28

16

Bridge built crossing from Baja California east across the Gulf of California through 2050

Sep 21, 11:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.85%chance

588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

75

Will East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP) be in operation until December 31st 2025?

Oct 11, 11:41 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

28.09%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

31

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