Eastern Time News

YES

On Earth

Before 2045

Before we have an universal flu vaccine

Before me

Before WW3

In the US

Before we get ASI

After his presidency

Before we get AGI

Natural causes

In the Eastern time zone

When BTC is below $100.000

In a hospital

Closer to Venus than to Mars

When TRUMP Coin is below $1.0

in bed

Surrounded by his friends and loved ones

When BTC is above $80.000

At or greater than 20m above sea level (using https://en-gb.topographic-map.com/map-nb18/United-States/ to verify if necessary)

In his sleep

While he is on a GLP-1

In Florida

Closer to Venus than to the Sun

After he announced he is sick

Before 2030

After my Manifold account has been inactive for 12+ months

Mar-a-Lago

Before potato2017 gets a world record in any competitive achievement leaderboard in the online game tetr.io

In a way that Manifold finds suspicious, according to a Manifold poll

Within 6 months of leaving office

Closer to Mars than to the Sun

While in office

By assassination

In New Jersey

After 2035

While mercury is in retrograde

After 2040

In front of a camera

The White House

On a Sunday

On a Monday

On a Tuesday

On a Wednesday

On a Thursday

On a Friday

On a Saturday

Outside (not in a vehicle or building)

While doing a speech

2030

With a bullet inside his body

2029

During WW3

2031

2032

2033

On an airplane

2035

2037

2034

2035

On TV

2038

Killed because a deal went sideways

2028

2027

2039

After J D Vance dies

2026

In Qatar

While having sex

On a gold toilet

In Russia

He will become effectively immortal

Food poisoning

Before ending World Cup 2026

In Greenland

Q2, 2026

While doing a funny dance

YES

NO

YES

YES

NO

NO

YES

YES

YES