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Top stories

ECB Minutes Expose Inflation Rift as Governing Council Holds Rates

ECB Minutes Expose Inflation Rift as Governing Council Holds Rates

Authors

10

8 months ago

EU Accelerates Digital Euro Launch in October 2025 on Ethereum or Solana After US GENIUS Act, ECB Budget Tops One Billion Euros

EU Accelerates Digital Euro Launch in October 2025 on Ethereum or Solana After US GENIUS Act, ECB Budget Tops One Billion Euros

Authors

14

9 months ago

ECB Survey Finds Euro-Zone Consumers Still Expect 2.6% Inflation Next Year

ECB Survey Finds Euro-Zone Consumers Still Expect 2.6% Inflation Next Year

Authors

12

8 months ago

Eurozone Wage Growth Jumps to 3.95%, Complicating ECB Rate Outlook

Authors

5

9 months ago

ECB Sees €2.7 Trillion Overnight Deposits, €1.94 Trillion Public-Sector Bonds, €261 Billion Corporate Purchases

Authors

3

9 months ago

Prediction markets for ECB

ECB rate hike in 2026?

Dec 24, 3:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.29%chance

113940

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2410

416

Will European Central Bank cut interest rates before June 2026?

Mar 22, 8:08 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

10820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

When will Ben Stokes give up the Test Captaincy

Jul 5, 9:25 AMJul 6, 9:24 AM

6776

OptionProbability

Other

Feb - April 2026

May 2026

January 2026

August 2025

November 2025

73

11

8

6

1

1

When will Joe Root Retire?

Jan 5, 10:04 PMJan 6, 1:59 PM

4319

OptionProbability

End of 2027 Ashes

End of India’s Tour in 2029

2029/2030 Ashes

Other

End 2025-26 Ashes

45

33

14

5

3

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

15.58%chance

11281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

102

Who will succeed Ben Stokes as test Captain?

Jul 22, 11:34 AMJul 23, 11:33 AM

4206

OptionProbability

Harry Brook

Other

Ollie Pope

Jamie Smith

83

10

4

4

Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the ECB the 1st November of 2027?

May 1, 1:15 AMNov 1, 11:59 PM

15.09%chance

8182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

310

96

Who will be the next ECB president after Christine Lagarde?

Dec 25, 7:30 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

5152

OptionProbability

Klaas Knot

Pablo Hernández de Cos

Other

Isabel Schnabel

Joachim Nagel

Nadia Calviño

Olli Rehn

34

30

14

8

5

5

4

Will the ECB adjust the 2% long run inflation target by 2028?

Jul 10, 8:38 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15.04%chance

7151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

297

101

Average ECB Rate in 2026Q3?

Apr 19, 1:31 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

[2.0, 2.25)%

below 1.75%

[1.75, 2.0)%

[2.25, 2.5)%

above 2.5%

35

16

16

16

16

Can EU companies charge 14% exchange rates fee for euro transactions?

Dec 11, 11:10 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

40

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