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Prediction markets for Economic

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Feb 18, 8:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

22.26%chance

1236664

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1596

1544

If Krantz goes on a proper date with Robin Hanson, they will win a Nobel Prize in Economics.

Mar 15, 12:47 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.88%chance

85445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1512

841

Will I complete my economics Bachelor's degree at the University of Bonn in 3 years. [Ṁ1337 liquidity subsidy]

Nov 19, 1:57 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

90.2%chance

185249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4897

736

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Dec 12, 7:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.9%chance

393975

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1270

457

Will Chinese economic growth drop below the upper middle-income GDP growth average in any year before 2031?

Jan 10, 11:14 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

65.1%chance

381429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

900

Next Fed chair to have a degree in economics?

Apr 18, 12:20 AMApr 1, 10:59 PM

42%chance

101373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

851

Will the validity of the Consumer Price Index as a measure of inflation be widely questioned during 2025? #Economics

Jan 22, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.57%chance

23965

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.85%chance

15727

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

729

Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?

Jun 20, 4:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.15%chance

10711

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

997

Trump administration publishes fake economic data?

May 5, 5:59 PMJan 1, 6:55 PM

45.79%chance

21471

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

942

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.8%chance

11360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10122

9934

Will we see the rise of a post scarcity economic summit before 2030 ?

Jun 22, 9:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

952

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