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Prediction markets for Economic Affairs

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war?

Dec 12, 3:27 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

6.09%chance

9024375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2075

871

Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?

Sep 24, 8:56 PMSep 24, 8:50 PM

51088

OptionProbability

Other

Ed Miliband

Darren Jones

Mel Stride

Richard Tice

Pat McFadden

Jonathan Reynolds

Jeremy Hunt

Yvette Cooper

Daisy Cooper

46

10

9

7

7

5

5

5

4

2

Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026?

Jan 8, 12:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.27%chance

8526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

474

21

Will Honduras restablish diplomatic ties with the Republic of China (Taiwan) before 2027?

Nov 28, 1:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.48%chance

9240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

Mar 5, 3:08 PMSep 27, 11:59 PM

51%chance

8203

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Global poverty: Will world life expectancy increase to <5 years of the leading large country's life expectancy by 2050?

Jan 29, 7:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31%chance

7166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

148

Who will win the clash of civilizations.

Mar 10, 11:11 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

4130

OptionProbability

Anglos🇺🇸

None

China🇨🇳

Other

Subcontinentals🇮🇳

Orthodoxy🇷🇺

27

26

19

14

9

5

Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026?

Apr 12, 10:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.23%chance

792

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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