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Prediction markets for Economic Development Administration

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63%chance

202212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1307

768

Who will be the Republican candidate for governor of Massachusetts in the 2026 election?

Feb 16, 10:41 AMSep 15, 11:59 PM

21714

OptionProbability

Brian Shortsleeve

Michael Minogue

Mike Kennealy

Other

Aaron Packard

42

41

10

6

1

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.73%chance

181092

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

940

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

819

Second Trump administration holds at least one oil/gas sale for drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge?

Jan 20, 8:15 AMJan 22, 7:59 AM

74.21%chance

580

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

59

How the living conditions in the venezuela be in the future?

Jan 16, 8:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

315

OptionProbability

Better future

Worse future

Same Future

38

35

27

Federal Reserve announces wholesale CBDC pilot before 2028?

Jun 10, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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