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Prediction markets for Economic Policy Institute

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.17%chance

101697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2277

439

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

38.23%chance

271685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

713

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.85%chance

15727

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

729

US union membership rate above 10.0% in 2025

Jan 31, 9:49 AMJan 31, 12:00 AM

37.53%chance

10478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

180

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?

Jul 11, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.7%chance

2400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2198

1820

Yuan at 8 dollars in 2025?

Apr 8, 12:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.02%chance

6296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?

Jun 30, 9:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4240

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Other

54

23

23

Australian dollar at or below 0.50 USD by EOY2026?

Apr 11, 12:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.96%chance

7159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

Federal Reserve announces wholesale CBDC pilot before 2028?

Jun 10, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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