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Prediction markets for Economic Security
Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?
Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM
28.82%chance
5910001
OptionVotes
5814
4759
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
71.93%chance
163414
OptionVotes
1009
979
OptionVotes
1724
580
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63%chance
202212
OptionVotes
1307
768
Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?
Dec 5, 2:26 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
77%chance
192051
OptionVotes
1830
547
AI system achieves full technological and economic autonomy before 2028?
Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.52%chance
61498
OptionVotes
1440
694
Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?
Sep 14, 4:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
32.6%chance
231176
OptionVotes
1023
921
Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035
Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
39.1%chance
10950
OptionVotes
1248
801
Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM
39.28%chance
9709
OptionVotes
1243
804
OptionVotes
1020
980
OptionVotes
1308
765
OptionVotes
1352
740

