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Economic Survey News

How will presidential historians rank Biden relative to other past presidents?

Jul 7, 5:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

293225

OptionProbability

21-25

16-20

11-15

26-30

31-35

Other

36-40

6-10

1-5

41-45

38

21

10

10

8

6

3

2

1

1

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.76%chance

273028

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1716

730

Which presidents will become more highly rated by presidential historians between 2021 and 2025?

Jul 8, 5:53 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

13977

OptionProbability

William J. Clinton

George H. W. Bush

Ulysses S. Grant

George W. Bush

Barack Obama

John F. Kennedy

Andrew Jackson

Franklin D. Roosevelt

Ronald Reagan

Lyndon B. Johnson

Jimmy Carter

Thomas Jefferson

Woodrow Wilson

Harry S. Truman

Richard M. Nixon

Donald J. Trump

Herbert Hoover

Theodore Roosevelt

69

60

50

50

45

44

44

38

35

30

30

29

21

20

17

12

7

7

Will Norway announce a referendum about joining EU during Trumps Second Term (2025–2029)?

Feb 2, 8:56 PMFeb 1, 10:59 PM

9%chance

15485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?

Jun 4, 4:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.84%chance

9403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

WIll the United States Economy avoid a recession by 2029?

Jan 12, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.18%chance

8172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2027?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

22.3%chance

2110

OptionProbability

YES

NO

193

42

More than 50% of Britons to expect economy to 'get better' before next general election according to YouGov

Jan 5, 1:49 PMAug 15, 12:00 AM

36.65%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

76

Will the July 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?

Jun 15, 11:14 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

37.2%chance

563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

65

Will June 2026 U.S. building permits be at least 1.45 million (SAAR)?

Jun 9, 2:14 AMJul 17, 12:25 PM

28.83%chance

253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

67

Will the June 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?

Jun 7, 9:03 PMJul 2, 12:25 PM

55.16%chance

352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

91

Will June 2026 U.S. new home sales be at least 650,000 (SAAR)?

Jun 9, 11:14 PMJul 24, 1:55 PM

42%chance

112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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