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Prediction markets for Economic Survey

How will presidential historians rank Biden relative to other past presidents?

Jul 7, 5:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

303298

OptionProbability

21-25

16-20

11-15

26-30

31-35

Other

36-40

6-10

1-5

41-45

32

18

12

12

10

8

4

2

1

1

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.4%chance

273083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1630

758

Which presidents will become more highly rated by presidential historians between 2021 and 2025?

Jul 8, 5:53 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

13977

OptionProbability

William J. Clinton

George H. W. Bush

Ulysses S. Grant

George W. Bush

Barack Obama

John F. Kennedy

Andrew Jackson

Franklin D. Roosevelt

Ronald Reagan

Lyndon B. Johnson

Jimmy Carter

Thomas Jefferson

Woodrow Wilson

Harry S. Truman

Richard M. Nixon

Donald J. Trump

Herbert Hoover

Theodore Roosevelt

69

60

50

50

45

44

44

38

35

30

30

29

21

20

17

12

7

7

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Jul 8, 9:13 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

82.12%chance

19884

OptionVotes

NO

YES

214

47

Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?

Jun 4, 4:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.05%chance

12684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

338

30

will ai really take over jobs someday

Feb 3, 12:52 AMJan 7, 12:59 PM

88.5%chance

13663

OptionVotes

NO

YES

277

36

Will Norway announce a referendum about joining EU during Trumps Second Term (2025–2029)?

Feb 2, 8:56 PMFeb 1, 10:59 PM

9%chance

15485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

WIll the United States Economy avoid a recession by 2029?

Jan 12, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.79%chance

8182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2027?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

22.3%chance

2110

OptionProbability

YES

NO

193

42

More than 50% of Britons to expect economy to 'get better' before next general election according to YouGov

Jan 5, 1:49 PMAug 15, 12:00 AM

36.65%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

76

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2026?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

21.2%chance

2102

OptionProbability

YES

NO

199

40

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