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Prediction markets for ED
Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?
Jan 6, 4:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
58%chance
9557
OptionVotes
1175
851
OptionVotes
1304
964
In 2030, will Yudkowsky think his 2023 Time op-ed helped or harmed our chances?
Mar 30, 2:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10288
OptionProbability
64
23
7
5
1
Will ed boyden prefrontal cortex turn into more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?
Aug 22, 3:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
16.59%chance
1173
OptionVotes
224
45
Will the US ban businesses/merchants from receiving large crypto transfers from non-'KYC'ed self-hosted wallets?
Mar 24, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.56%chance
14166
OptionVotes
999
996
Will Ed Boyden win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?
Jan 10, 7:05 AMJan 28, 4:59 AM
16.59%chance
4100
OptionVotes
210
70
OptionVotes
242
170
OptionVotes
101
90
Will Ed Markey be the longest serving congressperson ever?
Feb 5, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.58%chance
345
OptionVotes
145
91
OptionVotes
1020
980
Will ANYONE from the Ed boyden lab win nobel prize by EOY 2033
Jan 22, 11:44 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM
36.98%chance
215
OptionVotes
85
58
Will Jose Ricon OR Adam Marblestone OR Ed Boyden OR Steve Horvath OR Jeremy nixon get a pet axolotl by 2032?
Sep 16, 7:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45.25%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91