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Top stories

Ampol First-Half Profit Falls 23% on Weak Refining Margins

Company Earnings

Ampol First-Half Profit Falls 23% on Weak Refining Margins

Authors

11

4 months ago

Prediction markets for EG Group

Jensen Huang (YES) vs Pope Leo (NO): Time POTY 2025

Nov 30, 4:22 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.02%chance

10749538

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1217

1014

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

3.44%chance

12227376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10020

1563

Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?

Apr 20, 12:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

34.92%chance

816775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1784

1088

By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?

Dec 7, 5:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

485266

OptionProbability

No

Yes

64

36

Will 1% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035

Jul 6, 12:09 AMJun 15, 11:59 PM

25.81%chance

64148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1695

590

Will 10% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035

Jul 5, 6:08 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

19.03%chance

143566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2063

485

What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant Y?

Sep 8, 6:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.73%chance

8680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

732

111

Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030?

Jul 3, 9:49 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

40.69%chance

3391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

922

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