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Prediction markets for El 20

Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?

Jul 29, 1:05 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

36.32%chance

302759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1131

879

Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador at the end of 2025?

Aug 6, 3:57 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

96.87%chance

121029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

96

Will another country follow El Salvador in adopting Bitcoin as legal tender by the end of 2025?

May 13, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

64.82%chance

15960

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1303

788

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.12%chance

7640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1421

704

Will Bitcoin "Volcano Bonds" from El Salvador be issued by 2025?

Feb 2, 9:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.12%chance

13480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

940

Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:28 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.22%chance

13326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1122

944

Will a sitting US president visit El Salvador through 2029?

Aug 6, 3:58 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

35.29%chance

14231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1049

968

Will any Alien Enemies Act victims be returned from El Salvador to US before 2035?

Apr 3, 6:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.29%chance

8217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

¿Bajará el déficit fiscal argentino 15% del PIB (2023)durante el gobierno de Javier Milei?

Nov 29, 9:07 PMDec 10, 6:59 AM

96.15%chance

1200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

288

48

Will a political group in El Salvador significant in the next 20 years be founded by inmates of the megaprison?

May 4, 2:16 AMJan 1, 3:16 AM

53.7%chance

555

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

113

Will Jose Ricon win the Orden Civil de Alfonso X el Sabio by EOY 2070?

Sep 21, 6:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will The Dawn Wall (5.14d El Capitan) see another free ascent by 2026?

May 6, 4:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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