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Prediction markets for Election Commission office

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028

Feb 19, 5:26 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

34.73%chance

203219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1371

729

Elon elected to public office as America Party member?

Jul 6, 7:05 PMDec 31, 8:04 PM

5.7%chance

643008

OptionVotes

YES

NO

407

25

If nominated, which Democratic candidate will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?

Mar 17, 1:16 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

241439

OptionProbability

Josh Shapiro

Gretchen Whitmer

Gavin Newsom

Wes Moore

J.B. Pritzker

Pete Buttigieg

Mark Cuban

Tim Walz

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Kamala Harris

63

62

59

59

59

58

58

57

55

50

If Zelenskyy runs for re-election before 2028, will he win?

Mar 9, 1:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

53%chance

341352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

94

Will Nikki Haley run for President in 2028?

Mar 8, 1:12 AMNov 11, 1:29 PM

67.56%chance

13363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

845

Will the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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