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Prediction markets for Electrical
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
39.25%chance
145153345
OptionVotes
1172
862
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
61%chance
441122128
OptionVotes
3697
2549
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
57.11%chance
317104561
OptionVotes
1115
878
Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?
May 27, 9:10 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM
32.81%chance
6762104
OptionVotes
1027
949
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
Aug 16, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.36%chance
7043109
OptionVotes
1242
785
Will there be an electric* passenger airliner in commercial operation before 2028?
Jul 27, 3:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25%chance
8610738
OptionVotes
2046
879
Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?
Dec 12, 4:26 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
18.9%chance
7010719
OptionVotes
2233
521
Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
Oct 10, 1:48 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
49.9%chance
5310461
OptionVotes
1118
827
Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?
May 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
17.66%chance
414675
OptionVotes
3003
1084
Will more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?
Jul 21, 10:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69.69%chance
201498
OptionVotes
1516
660
In 10 years, will the USA have an average cost of electricity below 1/10th of its current price?
May 8, 2:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
11.02%chance
251207
OptionVotes
1238
928
Will consumer electricity be too cheap to meter by 2100?
Feb 23, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.69%chance
17941
OptionVotes
1014
791