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Prediction markets for Electronic Technologies

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.07%chance

347402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

688

Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?

Dec 27, 7:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6.96%chance

265006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2561

772

Will Sm2Co17 sintered magnet (Western) commercial price exceed 300 USD/kg on September 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:30 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

69.76%chance

93714

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7048

3974

Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:46 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

79.28%chance

42349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

78

In what year will China establish a domestic semiconductor supply chain that is not vulnerable to sanctions?

Mar 28, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

182071

OptionProbability

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2025-2029

2045-2050

48

16

16

13

7

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

37%chance

9694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1305

766

Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:47 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

36.6%chance

7110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

4

Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 5000 tpa on December 31, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:46 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

61.22%chance

319

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

4

Will Sm2Co17 sintered magnet (Western) commercial price exceed 500 USD/kg on September 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:30 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Sm2Co17 sintered magnet (Western) commercial price exceed 300 USD/kg on June 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:30 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Sm2Co17 sintered magnet (Western) commercial price exceed 500 USD/kg on June 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:30 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

49.88%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will prediction markets as concept and its history record become extinct before 2100?

Sep 15, 1:27 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

7.25%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

69

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