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Prediction markets for Elon

Will Elon Musk create a political party in 2025?

Jun 5, 6:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.05%chance

1044849790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

73393

1692

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?

Dec 17, 9:13 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

73.19%chance

234462678

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165505

60208

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.7%chance

434110610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11451

10276

Elon Musk charged with a federal crime before the end of day on December 31, 2025

Feb 3, 12:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.47%chance

5775986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

68206

5140

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.72%chance

5954539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

40585

2464

The Political Fate of Elon

Sep 15, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4848100

OptionProbability

Pay >$50m in fines/settlements if Dems win

Convicted of felony if Dems win

X shut down/sold if Dems win

Pay >$50m in fines/settlements if Reps win

Convicted of felony if Reps win

X shut down/sold if Reps win

30

23

18

4

3

2

Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

Mar 24, 7:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11%chance

14337038

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17966

9772

One of Elon Musk’s college aged henchmen charged with a federal crime before the end of day on December 31, 2025

Feb 3, 5:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.25%chance

4033292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

39230

3870

Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.22%chance

10025153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4662

1436

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

36.13%chance

11518640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15117

7622

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Sep 18, 7:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.19%chance

7814254

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1118

858

Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM

2.63%chance

317843

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6627

496

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