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Prediction markets for Elon Musk
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?
Dec 17, 9:13 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
82.58%chance
351782996
OptionVotes
218024
45679
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
49.91%chance
464127055
OptionVotes
11191
10542
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?
Sep 20, 7:29 PMJun 29, 3:59 AM
85.09%chance
11076712
OptionVotes
2913
484
Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.8%chance
6064289
OptionVotes
50335
1987
OptionVotes
16390
9978
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3%chance
10431813
OptionVotes
11415
1071
Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package
Jan 31, 4:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
99.25%chance
6831737
OptionVotes
16227
271
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?
Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
35.84%chance
11818790
OptionVotes
15208
7571
OptionProbability
1133
897
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
3.37%chance
3514386
OptionVotes
5497
530
OptionProbability
76
7
5
4
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?
Jan 4, 11:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
48.07%chance
607021
OptionVotes
1164
679



