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Emergence Capital News
Prediction markets for Emergence Capital
Prediction markets for Emergence Capital
8. OpenAI, Anthropic and other frontier labs will begin ‘moving up the stack,’ [...] building applications
Dec 27, 8:22 AM
Jan 3, 10:59 PM
94.68%
chance
17
3443
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4220
237
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
Mar 11, 12:04 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
18.24%
chance
22
3012
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1725
736
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
82.06%
chance
37
2697
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1928
630
xAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Sep 28, 5:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
21.2%
chance
7
1174
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1928
519
Will Fukuyama's "End of History" thesis still be plausible by 2035?
Oct 2, 1:15 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
37.83%
chance
10
525
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1282
780
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