OptionVotes
NO
YES
5349
187
2124
471
1088
922
1925
695
1720
680
1282
780
OptionProbability
Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028
No - Yemen is unified under single internationally recognized government by EOY 2028
Yes - Multiple independent states emerge (South Arabia, Houthi state, others) by EOY 2028
45
29
26
(NO) x (-10% to <20%)
(YES) x (-10% to <20%)
(YES) x (<-10%)
(YES) x (>=20%)
(NO) x (<-10%)
(NO) x (>=20%)
25
12
