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Top stories

Jerusalem Demsas Raises $4 Million to Launch Liberal Journal ‘The Argument’

Jerusalem Demsas Raises $4 Million to Launch Liberal Journal ‘The Argument’

Authors

9

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Emergent Ventures

Will I get an emergent ventures grant?

Oct 31, 7:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.33%chance

15734

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1109

796

Will Amy Li (https://twitter.com/amyli0) from TOPS/TKS win an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2025?

Apr 20, 10:52 PMApr 28, 6:59 AM

31.7%chance

3135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

110

Will @sanjehorah win an emergent ventures fellowship by EOY2028?

Dec 25, 8:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

1102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Zan Huang (at UMich) win Emergent Ventures by EOY 2026?

Jan 3, 12:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.5%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

48

Will Ada Nguyen win an emergent ventures grant by EOY 2025?

Dec 10, 9:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.63%chance

133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

83

30

Will Sid Mani (ftlsid.com) win an Emergent Ventures fellowship by EOY 2025?

Dec 25, 6:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.32%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

95

53

Will Jaival Patel win a Thiel Fellowship, Emergent Ventures, Brains Fellows, or Flux Capacitor funding by 2030?

Jun 10, 12:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will Mia Aiyana Cardenas (TKS=>NYU) win emergent ventures by EOY 2025?

Nov 12, 6:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.98%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85

58

Will Joseph Suarez (@jsuarez) win an emergent ventures grant by EOY 2025?

Dec 10, 10:09 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.98%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

65

38

Will Ada Nguyen win emergent ventures grant by EOY 2030?

Aug 25, 2:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.39%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Maxwell Tabarrok win Emergent Ventures by EOY 2035?

Aug 4, 11:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.73%chance

17

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

94

Will Willy Chertman win an Emergent Ventures fellowship before 2027?

Apr 20, 6:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.04%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

52

48

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