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Top stories

Jerusalem Demsas Raises $4 Million to Launch Liberal Journal ‘The Argument’

Jerusalem Demsas Raises $4 Million to Launch Liberal Journal ‘The Argument’

Authors

9

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Emergent Ventures

Will I get an emergent ventures grant?

Oct 31, 7:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.06%chance

161009

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

955

Will Lauren Pearson (laurenap.com) win emergent ventures by EOY 2029?

Aug 25, 4:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.35%chance

3100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Will Arnav Shah win EITHER an Emergent Ventures or Thiel Fellowship by 2028?

Apr 21, 10:24 AMApr 29, 6:59 AM

35.17%chance

550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

88

Will Zan Huang (at UMich) win Emergent Ventures by EOY 2026?

Jan 3, 12:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.5%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

48

Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 10:44 PMNov 1, 8:01 AM

32.43%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

95

Will Patrick Finley win an Emergent Ventures grant?

Jan 12, 8:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.7%chance

320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

110

Will Viraj Chhajed (aka Viraj Cz) win emergent ventures (EV) by EOY 2026?

Jan 1, 4:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.98%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

65

38

Will Ada Nguyen win emergent ventures grant by EOY 2030?

Aug 25, 2:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.39%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will yoyo @indiraschka win an emergent ventures fellowship

Jul 24, 4:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.73%chance

17

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

94

Will Logan Collins win an emergent ventures fellowship

Jan 23, 5:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC win Emergent Ventures by 2030?

Sep 21, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will Willy Chertman win an Emergent Ventures fellowship before 2027?

Apr 20, 6:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.04%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

52

48

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