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Prediction markets for EMI

Emily Stock

Apr 11, 2:47 AM

11723868

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1372

929

Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2024?

May 11, 9:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.29%chance

3213673

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11596

6015

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2025?

Mar 25, 1:47 PMMay 1, 9:59 PM

30.44%chance

7810744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

886

Carbon Brief Forecast: If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?

Mar 9, 9:51 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

55.01%chance

619562

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2230

583

Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025?

Jun 2, 4:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.15%chance

447881

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10379

9454

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?

Apr 8, 5:39 PMApr 15, 9:59 PM

65.85%chance

361708

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1510

524

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?

Apr 17, 3:54 PMFeb 24, 9:59 PM

72.2%chance

231492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1601

628

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

Apr 1, 3:41 PMApr 8, 9:59 PM

67.29%chance

261226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1568

490

Will the world achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2060?

Apr 23, 11:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.93%chance

221218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

395

Will Emily and I get a divorce by end of 2040?

Oct 10, 4:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.06%chance

201155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1146

886

Will the US halve its emissions by 2030?

Sep 11, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.78%chance

15639

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

933

If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?

Mar 9, 9:37 PMNov 2, 7:59 AM

42.58%chance

22600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

803

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