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Prediction markets for EMI

Emily Stock

Apr 11, 2:47 AM

11723868

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1372

929

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2025?

Mar 25, 1:47 PMMay 1, 9:59 PM

11.94%chance

8314208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2073

744

Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025?

Jun 2, 4:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.76%chance

5010335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11171

8526

Global CO2 emissions in 2050 (excluding land use)?

Jul 2, 4:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

179634

OptionProbability

40 - 49.99

10 - 19.99

30 - 39.99

0 - 9.99

20 - 29.99

50 - 59.99

Below 0

60 - 69.99

70 - 79.99

80 - 89.99

90+

25

19

13

11

11

10

5

2

1

1

1

Carbon Brief Forecast: If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?

Mar 9, 9:51 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

57.26%chance

619612

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2280

544

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?

Apr 8, 5:39 PMApr 15, 9:59 PM

39.45%chance

392910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

978

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

Apr 1, 3:41 PMApr 8, 9:59 PM

46.29%chance

272045

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

832

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?

Apr 17, 3:54 PMFeb 24, 9:59 PM

68.2%chance

231639

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1454

690

Will Emily and I get a divorce by end of 2040?

Oct 10, 4:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.32%chance

201355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1346

775

Will the world achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2060?

Apr 23, 11:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.93%chance

221218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

395

If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?

Mar 9, 9:37 PMNov 2, 7:59 AM

43.5%chance

23700

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

783

Will the US halve its emissions by 2030?

Sep 11, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.78%chance

15639

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

933

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