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Prediction markets for ENAC

Will Trump's use of IEEPA to enact tariffs without congress be ruled unlawful?

Mar 11, 1:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.82%chance

1619372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11794

8479

Will a National Abortion Ban Be Enacted in the US Before 2026?

Nov 6, 5:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.58%chance

238745

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4563

219

Conditional on humanity surviving to 2035, will a global AI pause have been enacted?

Nov 5, 2:47 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.56%chance

363681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

988

923

Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?

Apr 11, 5:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17%chance

663052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1954

635

Will the Trump administration enact Medicare For All

Dec 5, 5:31 AMJan 12, 7:59 AM

9.25%chance

192572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3133

319

Will Texas enact new a congressional map during its first 2025 special session?

Jul 22, 2:28 PMAug 17, 10:59 PM

30.08%chance

201560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

914

Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026?

May 16, 3:19 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

80.25%chance

19871

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1388

750

Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?

Nov 13, 7:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

64.18%chance

9660

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1339

747

If Trump wins, will any country enact economic sanctions against the U.S. by the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 12:05 AMNov 4, 7:59 AM

60.36%chance

17391

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1174

865

Will significant prosecutorial reform be enacted in South Korea by 2028?

Dec 13, 12:20 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

65.24%chance

3390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

730

If Trump wins, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress?

Mar 9, 11:00 PMNov 3, 10:59 PM

23.65%chance

11163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

931

Will an anti-discrimination law be enacted to protect U.S. federal employees who have been genetically-edited or screened as embryos by 2100?

Jun 30, 1:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.69%chance

10109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

989

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