Endurance News

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

1.83%chance

9534412

OptionVotes

YES

7356

561

Nguyen Teddy Bear Stock

Apr 11, 9:47 AM

82916

OptionProbability

YES

588

418

Which MTG cards will be banned from standard before the next early rotation window?

Aug 14, 6:05 PMAug 10, 5:54 PM

102241

OptionProbability

Vivi Ornitier

Proft's Eidetic Memory

Screaming Nemesis

Badgermole Cub

Agatha's Soul Cauldron

Fear of Missing Out

Stock Up

Enduring Curiosity

Superior Spider-Man / Kavaero, Mind-Bitten

Kaito, Bane of Nightmares

100

Juggling megamarket

Jan 4, 12:48 AMJan 11, 9:59 PM

42182

OptionProbability

Someone qualifies 12 balls in 2025

Eivind Dragsjo wins the 2025 Numbers Juggling League

Someone performs the trick f4444444444, from and to a cascade, before the end of 2026 (similarly to https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42LOiJE5yLg)

Someone flashes 15 balls before the end of 2027

Someone flashes 14 balls in 2025

At least 5 different endurance world records will be broken in 2025

At least 10 different endurance world records will be broken in 2025

Someone flashes 10 clubs in 2025

The European Juggling Convention 2025 is cancelled

100

Will Isaac del Toro win a Grand Tour before 2028?

May 27, 6:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.03%chance

191164

OptionVotes

YES

146

Will a robot demonstrate exceptional speed, versatility, and performance in extreme environments by 2040?

Mar 19, 9:14 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.99%chance

291162

OptionVotes

YES

1292

787

Will a robot autonomously climb a set of challenging mountains and rock formations by 2040?

Mar 17, 3:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

69.34%chance

24744

OptionVotes

YES

1327

804

Will information suggesting Elon was involved with the creation of Bitcoin emerge through 2027

Jan 1, 4:08 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

4.38%chance

10427

OptionVotes

YES

467

Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036

Oct 8, 6:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.15%chance

13328

OptionVotes

YES

1031

945

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Mar 2, 1:04 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

8247

OptionProbability

Announces elections contingent on ceasefire only

July 1 - December 31, 2026

January 1 - June 30, 2027

July 1, 2027 or later

Other

Never announces national elections

March 15 - April 15, 2026

April 15 - May 4, 2026 (before martial law expires)

May 4 - June 30, 2026

Before March 15, 2026

Milestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030

Jun 7, 2:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

465

OptionProbability

A humanoid robot completes a full Marathon race.

A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of a major fashion magazine.

A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of Time magazine.

A humanoid robot capable of bipedal motion and natural language communication available for sale on Amazon.

Will Chatgpt-type chatbots become permanent in our lives permanently before 2100?

Sep 15, 1:20 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

137

OptionProbability

No, they will be replaced by a different technology before becoming permanent

Yes, they will become permanent fixtures by 2030

Yes, they will become permanent fixtures between 2031-2050

Yes, they will become permanent fixtures between 2051-2099

No, they will lose popularity and cease to be part of daily life

Endurance News

Prediction markets for Endurance

Prediction markets for Endurance

Prediction markets for Endurance

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Nguyen Teddy Bear Stock

Which MTG cards will be banned from standard before the next early rotation window?

Juggling megamarket

Will Isaac del Toro win a Grand Tour before 2028?

Will a robot demonstrate exceptional speed, versatility, and performance in extreme environments by 2040?

Will a robot autonomously climb a set of challenging mountains and rock formations by 2040?

Will information suggesting Elon was involved with the creation of Bitcoin emerge through 2027

Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Milestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030

Will Chatgpt-type chatbots become permanent in our lives permanently before 2100?

Latest stories