Endurance News

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

3.73%chance

9531769

OptionVotes

YES

4074

648

Nguyen Teddy Bear Stock

Apr 11, 9:47 AM

82916

OptionProbability

YES

588

418

Juggling megamarket

Jan 4, 12:48 AMJan 11, 9:59 PM

42182

OptionProbability

Someone qualifies 12 balls in 2025

Eivind Dragsjo wins the 2025 Numbers Juggling League

Someone performs the trick f4444444444, from and to a cascade, before the end of 2026 (similarly to https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42LOiJE5yLg)

Someone flashes 15 balls before the end of 2027

Someone flashes 14 balls in 2025

At least 5 different endurance world records will be broken in 2025

At least 10 different endurance world records will be broken in 2025

Someone flashes 10 clubs in 2025

The European Juggling Convention 2025 is cancelled

100

Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?

Apr 19, 12:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.18%chance

372137

OptionVotes

YES

102

Which MTG cards will be banned from standard before the next early rotation window?

Aug 14, 6:05 PMJun 30, 5:54 PM

81905

OptionProbability

Vivi Ornitier

Proft's Eidetic Memory

Screaming Nemesis

Badgermole Cub

Agatha's Soul Cauldron

Fear of Missing Out

Stock Up

Enduring Curiosity

Superior Spider-Man / Kavaero, Mind-Bitten

Kaito, Bane of Nightmares

100

Will a robot demonstrate exceptional speed, versatility, and performance in extreme environments by 2040?

Mar 19, 9:14 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.99%chance

291162

OptionVotes

YES

1292

787

Will Isaac del Toro win a Grand Tour before 2028?

May 27, 6:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.84%chance

14809

OptionVotes

YES

153

Will a robot autonomously climb a set of challenging mountains and rock formations by 2040?

Mar 17, 3:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

69.34%chance

24744

OptionVotes

YES

1327

804

Will information suggesting Elon was involved with the creation of Bitcoin emerge through 2027

Jan 1, 4:08 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

4.38%chance

10427

OptionVotes

YES

467

Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036

Oct 8, 6:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.15%chance

13328

OptionVotes

YES

1031

945

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Mar 2, 1:04 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

6151

OptionProbability

Announces elections contingent on ceasefire only

April 15 - May 4, 2026 (before martial law expires)

May 4 - June 30, 2026

July 1 - December 31, 2026

January 1 - June 30, 2027

July 1, 2027 or later

Never announces national elections

Other

March 15 - April 15, 2026

Before March 15, 2026

Milestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030

Jun 7, 2:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

465

OptionProbability

A humanoid robot completes a full Marathon race.

A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of a major fashion magazine.

A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of Time magazine.

A humanoid robot capable of bipedal motion and natural language communication available for sale on Amazon.

Endurance News

Prediction markets for Endurance

Prediction markets for Endurance

Prediction markets for Endurance

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Nguyen Teddy Bear Stock

Juggling megamarket

Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?

Which MTG cards will be banned from standard before the next early rotation window?

Will a robot demonstrate exceptional speed, versatility, and performance in extreme environments by 2040?

Will Isaac del Toro win a Grand Tour before 2028?

Will a robot autonomously climb a set of challenging mountains and rock formations by 2040?

Will information suggesting Elon was involved with the creation of Bitcoin emerge through 2027

Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Milestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030

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