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Top stories

China’s Solar Output to Exceed 1,200 TWh in 2025 With 3% Emissions Drop and 610 sq km Tibetan Solar Farm

China’s Solar Output to Exceed 1,200 TWh in 2025 With 3% Emissions Drop and 610 sq km Tibetan Solar Farm

Authors

9

1 year ago

U.S. Gas Futures Rise as Storage Build Trails Forecast

U.S. Gas Futures Rise as Storage Build Trails Forecast

Authors

7

1 year ago

EIA Says U.S. Crude Output Hits Record 13.58 Million b/d

Natural Resources

EIA Says U.S. Crude Output Hits Record 13.58 Million b/d

Authors

5

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Staff Cuts Force EIA to Delay Uranium and Outlook Reports

Authors

3

1 year ago

US Crude Stockpiles Drop 2.4 Million Barrels, EIA Shows

Authors

6

1 year ago

US Power Bills Surge 10% in 2025 on Tariffs, AI Data Center Demand

Authors

12

1 year ago

US WASDE Shows Higher Corn, Lower Soybean and Cotton Stocks; Crude Inventories Up; Oil Rigs Rise to 412, Total 539

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Energy Information Administration

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.52%chance

3826421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1294

776

What power source will replace diesel for long-haul trucking by 2030?

Dec 26, 10:28 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

535106

OptionProbability

Diesel will still be dominant

Battery-electric vehicle

Synthetic natural gas / hydrocarbons / biofuels

Hydrogen fuel cell

Other

Fusion

Fossil-fuel natural gas

68

16

11

4

1

0

0

How much utility-scale solar power will the US install in 2026?

Feb 14, 3:41 AMMay 1, 3:59 AM

111278

OptionProbability

30 GW to 45 GW

45 GW to 60 GW

<30 GW

60 GW to 75 GW

>75 GW

44

36

9

6

5

Will U.S. data center electricity consumption exceed 10% of total U.S. power demand by end of 2030?

Feb 12, 3:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.23%chance

111008

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

995

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Dec 16, 7:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

19503

OptionProbability

Increase domestic energy production by 3 million barrel of oil equivalents per day

Real GDP growth of 3% per annum

Reduce budget deficit to 3% of GDP

48

32

4

Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of July 2027?

Aug 26, 9:25 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

46.66%chance

5177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1069

935

Will the EIA publish the level of the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve every week, on time, for the rest of 2026?

Sep 15, 11:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.3%chance

5171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?

May 28, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

10156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

73

Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?

May 6, 10:13 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

37.72%chance

5139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

96

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