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Prediction markets for English

Will we be able to communicate with dogs in English, by 2030?

May 4, 3:13 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18.08%chance

834265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2251

1101

Will AI extend English before 2031?

Mar 8, 10:48 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

54.46%chance

403293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1198

789

Will I get an English Major at Tufts?

Jun 1, 4:24 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

32.85%chance

141223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1273

796

By 2028, AI can translate a text written in a newly discovered language into English as well as a team of human experts

Jan 5, 10:41 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

23.44%chance

221163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

889

Will there be easy auto-translation of the entire Chinese Internet into English by 2027? (such that people in America can easily and regularly hold conversations with people in China - with minimal loss of interpretation)?

Oct 4, 12:39 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

74.79%chance

26735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

935

Will Macron's english wikipedia article mention the 2025 apparent domestic violence incident by mid 2026

Jun 2, 6:02 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

35.42%chance

14687

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1350

741

Will mainstream (online) English use a separate second person group pronoun (y'all, yous, ...) in 2030?

Sep 17, 1:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.37%chance

17613

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

899

Will AI extend English before 2032?

Mar 9, 10:45 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

62.85%chance

27574

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

867

Will an English encyclopedia exceeding 15 billion words be created before May 2028?

May 23, 10:15 PMMay 1, 7:00 AM

29.39%chance

22310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

941

NYTimes changes default pronoun assumptions in English to "They" from "He/She"

Mar 14, 4:52 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM

68.6%chance

13280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

952

Will English be the first language to pass 2 billion speakers worldwide?

Jan 29, 4:11 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

82.28%chance

11208

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

960

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

78.72%chance

10198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

957

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