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Prediction markets for ENRE

In Fall 2026, will US computer science departments find their enrollment halved compared to previous years?

Jul 20, 5:16 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

5.03%chance

183719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4346

230

Musk v Mosk: Is Tesla an Enron-style fraud?

May 3, 2:04 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.08%chance

172434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2878

785

What percent of enrolled MIT students will have undergone artificial gain of intelligence at the end of 2030?

Jul 11, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.88%chance

342326

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1220

947

Will another Ivy+ university lose the general ability to enroll international students by end of March 2026?

May 22, 9:57 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

57.02%chance

202185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1152

868

Iran’s 60%+ enriched uranium stockpile and its capability to produce more both eliminated by June 2025 strikes?

Jun 22, 11:06 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

8%chance

91938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2500

62

Will the nuclear deal between US🇺🇸 and Iran🇮🇷 include a clause that allows Iran to enrich uranium for civilian use?

Jun 3, 6:35 PMDec 31, 6:34 PM

53.35%chance

9505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

626

142

Will international students be allowed to enroll at Harvard University for the Fall 2025 semester?

May 30, 2:15 AMSep 7, 2:14 AM

95.59%chance

11485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

466

21

Will AI cause a decline in university enrolment by 2027 in the UK?

May 27, 10:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.5%chance

4199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

243

41

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Samuel Knoche about college enrollment levels?

Jul 19, 10:48 PMJan 1, 7:55 AM

85.39%chance

6133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

119

Will enrolment in STEM degrees decrease significantly before 2040?

Apr 16, 12:46 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

66.08%chance

370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

169

84

Will retro.bio use deuterium-enriched water/nutrients by EOY 2025?

Jan 26, 1:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.01%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

93

87

will Total Fall Enrollment in 4 Year Post-Secondary Degrees Reach 58.8% Female by the end of 2024

Oct 15, 3:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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