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Prediction markets for ENS

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.42%chance

976741418

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10003

9896

Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?

Nov 12, 7:10 PMJan 19, 9:59 PM

18.48%chance

898515424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2483

689

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM

48.92%chance

6123558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

49884

48622

Est ce que Macron démissionnera en 2026

Dec 21, 7:27 PMMar 30, 10:59 PM

7.73%chance

173401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

80

Palestinians resettled en masse to Iran during Trump's term?

Jun 17, 7:37 PMDec 31, 8:36 PM

5.24%chance

10704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

425

24

cuba se convertira en una democracia en 2026

Jan 14, 1:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.94%chance

8247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

¿Habra mocion de censura al presidente Sanchez en España antes de Agosto del 26?

Jan 13, 9:58 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

25.91%chance

5114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

- Élections législatives en France : Les élections législatives en France auront lieu en 2028

Mar 7, 9:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.22%chance

2105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

49

¿El tratado de comercio T-MEC (USMCA) será sustituido con un tratado bilateral entre EE.UU. y México en 2026?

Oct 12, 11:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.82%chance

395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

¿Conseguirá José Luis Ricon un loro en 2035?

Jun 30, 9:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

¿Comerá José Luis Ricon pollo frito en 2025?

Jun 30, 9:51 PM

30

El meteórico ascenso de Cardano: la actividad en cadena apunta a un aumento alcista

Nov 4, 2:09 PM

00

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