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Prediction markets for EOS

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

49.43%chance

20031623541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4386

4291

Half-Life 3 confirmed by EOY?

May 27, 6:20 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

22.14%chance

551327721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3774

1035

Will the S&P 500 Pass 100,000 by EOY 2026?

May 18, 5:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.63%chance

2568604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

777

13

EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?

Jan 22, 7:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3757067

OptionProbability

About the same as in 2024

Notably more difficult than in 2024

Notably easier than in 2024

Virtually impossible

32

28

25

15

Will Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO be declared unconstitutional by the Supreme Court before 2029?

Jan 21, 3:54 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

79.83%chance

586081

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

50

William Baude admitted to Supreme Court Bar by EOY2030?

Jun 7, 10:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.99%chance

9970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10621

9415

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.62%chance

9702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10538

9489

Will Biden pass an anti-crypto EO?

Mar 24, 3:20 AMFeb 1, 5:59 AM

1.23%chance

6603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

672

10

will eos luffy be top 1 in the verse

Jan 17, 2:09 AMDec 25, 6:59 AM

91.54%chance

7400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

329

30

Will Elon musk, JD Vance, or more than 2 members of Trump administration follow https://x.com/cremieuxrecueil?s=09 by EO

Nov 20, 4:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.37%chance

3161

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

78

Will Trump issue an EO or get congress to pass laws repealing Wheelchair Ramps requirements by the end of 2025?

Mar 12, 6:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.37%chance

3126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

44

EOS akainu vs prime sengoku

Mar 5, 8:10 PM

30

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