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Epoch AI Research News
Prediction markets for Epoch AI Research
Prediction markets for Epoch AI Research
Will 100 million humanoid robots be manufactured before 2032?
May 21, 12:50 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
33.4%
chance
10
220
Option
Votes
YES
NO
141
71
Will 100 million quadruped robots be manufactured before 2034?
May 21, 1:16 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
60.05%
chance
6
188
Option
Votes
NO
YES
123
82
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
48.12%
chance
4
157
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1091
1011
Will any frontier-class model training run be announced with >$1B total compute cost before 2026-12-31?
May 4, 8:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.12%
chance
2
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
120
86
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